Assets like launch capabilities, energy access, or media influence may not generate strong cash flows but provide immense strategic leverage. In an era of competing power blocs, controlling these strategic assets is becoming more valuable than traditional financial metrics suggest, a shift that markets struggle to price.

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Unlike the US's focus on quarterly results and election cycles, China's leadership operates on a civilizational timescale. From their perspective, the US is a recent phenomenon, and losing the US market is an acceptable short-term cost in a much longer game of survival and dominance. This fundamental difference in strategic thinking is often missed.

The market capitalization of the world's largest companies is overwhelmingly derived from non-physical assets like brand, intellectual property, and customer goodwill. Selling all of Coca-Cola's factories would yield far less value than retaining ownership of the name alone, proving that intangible meaning is the primary driver of modern enterprise value.

The fastest path to generating immense wealth is shifting from pure innovation to achieving regulatory capture via proximity to the president. This strategy is designed to influence policy, secure government contracts, or even acquire state-seized assets like TikTok at a steep discount, representing a new form of crony capitalism.

Seemingly strange deals, like NVIDIA investing in companies that then buy its GPUs, serve a deep strategic purpose. It's not just financial engineering; it's a way to forge co-dependent alliances, secure its central role in the ecosystem, and effectively anoint winners in the AI arms race.

Beyond the well-known semiconductor race, the AI competition is shifting to energy. China's massive, cheaper electricity production is a significant, often overlooked strategic advantage. This redefines the AI landscape, suggesting that superiority in atoms (energy) may become as crucial as superiority in bytes (algorithms and chips).

Companies like Tesla and Oracle achieve massive valuations not through profits, but by capturing the dominant market story, such as becoming an "AI company." Investors should analyze a company's ability to create and own the next compelling narrative.

Taiwan's TSMC dominates advanced chip manufacturing not only through technical excellence but also its business model. By acting as a pure-play foundry that doesn't compete with its clients (unlike Intel or Samsung), it fostered unique trust and partnerships, making it the central hub of the semiconductor ecosystem and a critical geopolitical asset.

In Russia, nominally private companies like Gazprom function as direct extensions of the state. Their international investments are designed not just for profit but to achieve geopolitical goals, creating a system where foreign policy, business interests, and the personal wealth of the ruling class are completely inseparable.

Geopolitical shifts mean a company's country of origin heavily influences its market access and tariff burdens. This "corporate nationality" creates an uneven playing field, where a business's location can instantly become a massive advantage or liability compared to competitors.

Power is shifting from open participation in a global market to controlling access between siloed communities (e.g., finance, tech, government). Individuals who can bridge these worlds and broker relationships, like operators on a medieval trade route, accumulate immense power and value.

Strategic Value Is Overtaking Financial Value in a De-Globalized World | RiffOn