Media reports of "manic activity" in secondaries are misleading. The market isn't irrational; it's simply experiencing massive growth. Annual volume has surged from ~$40 billion to over $200 billion in a decade, making experienced buyers exceptionally busy.

The term 'private equity' is now insufficient. The M&A market's capital base has expanded to include sovereign wealth funds and large, tech-generated family offices that invest directly or co-invest like traditional PE firms. This diversification creates a larger, more resilient pool of capital for deals.

The traditional IPO exit is being replaced by a perpetual secondary market for elite private companies. This new paradigm provides liquidity for investors and employees without the high costs and regulatory burdens of going public. This shift fundamentally alters the venture capital lifecycle, enabling longer private holding periods.

The secondary market faces a potential capital shortage. The total available dry powder (~$200B) nearly equals the transaction volume expected this year alone. This tight supply-demand balance suggests a favorable risk-reward for new capital entering the space.

Sophisticated investors no longer use secondaries just to quickly build a private equity program. The strategy has matured into a core allocation, valued for offering faster deployment, better cash flow control, and consistent performance across market cycles.

General Partners (GPs) have shifted from viewing secondary sales as an LP-driven nuisance to a strategic tool. They now facilitate liquidity for investors to maintain their reputation and use continuation vehicles to retain top-performing assets beyond a fund's original lifespan.

To solve the critical illiquidity problem for individual investors, Goldman Sachs operates a proprietary, quarterly secondary market developed over 20 years. This platform allows its wealth clients to list and sell their alternative investment positions, transacting over a billion dollars in NAV annually and providing a crucial liquidity solution.

While fears of retail investors gambling on venture capital exist, the primary growth in retail alternatives is in yield-oriented strategies like private credit and infrastructure. These products meet the demand for high current income and lower volatility, especially for those in or near retirement, making them a more logical first step.

Increased retail access to alternatives helps level the playing field between individual and institutional investors. However, capturing this opportunity favors large, scaled managers like Blackstone and Apollo who can afford brand marketing and distribution. This dynamic accelerates industry consolidation, widening the gap between mega-firms and smaller managers.