The dynamic between tech and government is not a simple decline but a cycle of alignment (post-WWII), hostility (2000s-2010s), and a recent return to collaboration. This "back to the future" trend is driven by geopolitical needs and cultural shifts, suggesting the current alignment is a return to a historical norm.

When governments become top shareholders, corporate focus shifts from pleasing customers to securing political favor and appropriations. R&D budgets are reallocated to lobbying, and market competition devolves from building the best product to playing the policy game most effectively, strangling innovation.

The controversy around David Sacks's government role highlights a key governance dilemma. While experts are needed to regulate complex industries like AI, their industry ties inevitably raise concerns about conflicts of interest and preferential treatment, creating a difficult balance for any administration.

The most effective government role in innovation is to act as a catalyst for high-risk, foundational R&D (like DARPA creating the internet). Once a technology is viable, the government should step aside to allow private sector competition (like SpaceX) to drive down costs and accelerate progress.

Despite populist rhetoric, the administration needs the economic stimulus and stock market rally driven by AI capital expenditures. In return, tech CEOs gain political favor and a permissive environment, creating a symbiotic relationship where power politics override public concerns about the technology.

The intense employee revolt at Google over the Project Maven AI contract was the watershed moment of peak hostility between Silicon Valley and D.C. This public conflict forced many to take sides and represented a symbolic bottoming-out, creating the conditions for the subsequent rebuilding of the relationship.

Contrary to the last 20 years of tension, Silicon Valley's history is deeply intertwined with the U.S. national mission. From the 1950s to the 1990s, a tight alliance with defense and government agencies was standard, making the recent hostility a historical aberration that is now correcting itself.

Silicon Valley's economic engine is "permissionless innovation"—the freedom to build without prior government approval. Proposed AI regulations requiring pre-approval for new models would dismantle this foundation, favoring large incumbents with lobbying power and stifling the startup ecosystem.

The government is no longer just a regulator but is becoming a financial partner and stakeholder in the tech industry. Actions like taking a cut of specific chip sales represent a major "fork in the road," indicating a new era of public-private relationships where government actively participates in financial outcomes.