A radical policy proposal, like seizing university endowments for reparations, can be a strategic move to create internal conflict within a political coalition by forcing two key demographics (e.g., progressive students and African Americans) into a zero-sum conflict over resources and status.
The Republican party's internal conflict can be understood as a 'three-legged stool.' It comprises: 1) conspiracy theories (Epstein files), 2) core policy disagreements (tariffs, immigration), and 3) an ideological battle over foreign policy, particularly concerning Israel. This framework helps dissect the multifaceted nature of the party's fractures.
The Epstein files show how internal party challengers can leverage a single, highly-charged issue to confront a dominant leader like Trump. This tactic allows figures like Marjorie Taylor Greene to gain national visibility and reshape their political brand, potentially shifting from extremist to 'reasonable' in the public eye.
A political party might intentionally trigger a government shutdown not to win policy concessions, but to create a public narrative of a dysfunctional opposition. The true victory isn't legislative but reputational, aiming to sway voters in upcoming elections by making the ruling party look incompetent.
A savvy political strategy involves forcing opponents to publicly address the most extreme statements from their ideological allies. This creates an impossible purity test. No answer is good enough for the fringe, and any attempt to placate them alienates the mainstream, effectively creating a schism that benefits the opposing party.
When a political movement is out of power, it's easy to unify against a common opponent. Once they gain power and become the establishment, internal disagreements surface, leading to factions and infighting as they debate the group's future direction.
The lack of a unified national narrative creates profound societal division. America is fractured by two irreconcilable stories: one of colonialist oppression and another of unprecedented prosperity, making a shared identity and collective action impossible.
Viewing politicians as athletes in a game reveals their true motivation: gaining and retaining power. This framework explains seemingly inconsistent actions, like flip-flopping, as strategic plays for short-term public sentiment rather than reflections of moral conviction or long-term vision.
An ideologue, even an anarchist advocating against the state, may support a massive state action if it serves a higher strategic purpose—in this case, disrupting a system they oppose. The perceived hypocrisy is dismissed as irrelevant when compared to the desired outcome, framing it as a solution, not a preferred method of governance.
In times of economic inequality, people are psychologically driven to vote for policies that punish a perceived enemy—like the wealthy or immigrants—rather than those that directly aid the poor. This powerful emotional desire for anger and a villain fuels populist leaders.
The psychological engine of populism is the zero-sum fallacy. It frames every issue—trade deficits, immigration, university admissions—as a win-lose scenario. This narrative, where one group's success must come at another's expense, fosters the protectionist and resentful attitudes that populist leaders exploit.