The opportunity for Samsara didn't come from one breakthrough. It was the simultaneous maturation of three technologies around 2015: ubiquitous 4G connectivity, powerful handheld compute (e.g., NVIDIA in Nintendo Switch), and cheap, high-quality cameras driven by the smartphone boom.

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Unlike their first company Meraki, the Samsara founders entered the physical operations industry as novices. Their conviction came from identifying compounding technology waves—connectivity, compute, and sensors—and trusting these would unlock future value, even if the exact path was unclear.

The progress in deep learning, from AlexNet's GPU leap to today's massive models, is best understood as a history of scaling compute. This scaling, resulting in a million-fold increase in power, enabled the transition from text to more data-intensive modalities like vision and spatial intelligence.

The vast network of consumer devices represents a massive, underutilized compute resource. Companies like Apple and Tesla can leverage these devices for AI workloads when they're idle, creating a virtual cloud where users have already paid for the hardware (CapEx).

The ultimate winner in the AI race may not be the most advanced model, but the most seamless, low-friction user interface. Since most queries are simple, the battle is shifting to hardware that is 'closest to the person's face,' like glasses or ambient devices, where distribution is king.

Vercel's founder argues that a camera's photo should be treated as a starting point (an input) for AI models, not the final image. This reframes photography around AI enhancement rather than hardware quality, opening up new product categories for image transformation and post-processing.

The evolution from simple voice assistants to 'omni intelligence' marks a critical shift where AI not only understands commands but can also take direct action through connected software and hardware. This capability, seen in new smart home and automotive applications, will embed intelligent automation into our physical environments.

AI is developing spatial reasoning that approaches human levels. This will enable it to solve novel physics problems, leading to breakthroughs that create entirely new classes of technology, much like discoveries in the 1940s led to GPS and cell phones.

Consumer innovation arrives in predictable waves after major technological shifts. The browser created Amazon and eBay; mobile created Uber and Instagram. The current AI platform shift is creating the same conditions for a new, massive wave of consumer technology companies.

For the first time, a disruptive technology's most advanced capabilities are available to the public from day one via consumer apps. An individual with a smartphone has access to the same state-of-the-art AI as a top VC or Fortune 500 CEO, making it the most democratic technology in history.

AR and robotics are bottlenecked by software's inability to truly understand the 3D world. Spatial intelligence is positioned as the fundamental operating system that connects a device's digital "brain" to physical reality. This layer is crucial for enabling meaningful interaction and maturing the hardware platforms.