The trend of moving manufacturing to countries like Mexico or Vietnam to avoid China tariffs is often driven by Chinese companies themselves. They establish clone factories abroad, sometimes with Chinese labor, meaning the economic benefits largely still flow back to China.

Flexport CEO Ryan Peterson reveals that high tariffs incentivize foreign companies to under-declare goods' value. The U.S. uniquely allows imports without a local entity, meaning there's little recourse when fraud is discovered. This creates a significant competitive disadvantage for American companies that follow the rules.

Economic analysis debunks the political claim that foreign nations pay for tariffs. In reality, there is a near-complete cost pass-through to American buyers. U.S. consumers ultimately shoulder 96% of the tariff burden through higher prices, while foreign firms absorb only a negligible 4%.

Ford builds over 80% of its US-sold vehicles domestically. However, this scale requires importing the most parts, so US tariffs on parts penalize Ford more heavily than companies that import whole vehicles at a lower effective tariff rate, creating a competitive disadvantage.

The success of tariffs hinges on the insight that China's economic model prioritizes volume and employment over per-unit profitability. This creates a vulnerability where Chinese producers are forced to absorb tariff costs to maintain output, effectively subsidizing the tariff revenue and preventing significant price increases for US consumers.

For small parcel shipments, the shipping carrier (e.g., FedEx) is legally the 'importer of record' and receives the tariff refund, not the end consumer who was actually billed for it. This situation exposes carriers to potential class-action lawsuits and significant brand damage.

Despite fears from announced tariffs, the actual implemented tariff rate on U.S. imports is only 10.1%, not the computed 17-18%. This is due to exemptions, trade deals, and behavioral changes by companies. This gap between rhetoric and reality explains the unexpectedly strong 2025 performance of emerging markets.

A flat tariff on imports makes complex manufacturing with numerous cross-border steps prohibitively expensive. It becomes cheaper to move domestic production steps out of the tariff zone and import the finished good only once, leading to the deindustrialization of high-skilled jobs.

Geopolitical shifts mean a company's country of origin heavily influences its market access and tariff burdens. This "corporate nationality" creates an uneven playing field, where a business's location can instantly become a massive advantage or liability compared to competitors.