The political coalition of working-class voters and the tech/VC industry could shatter over AI. A plausible 2028 scenario involves a Republican primary lane dedicated to an anti-AI platform, framing it as a job-killer and electricity-price booster, creating a significant division within the party.

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A rapid, significant (e.g., 5%) spike in unemployment over a short period (e.g., 6 months) due to AI would trigger an immediate and massive political and economic response. This would be comparable in speed and scale to the multi-trillion dollar stimulus packages passed during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The rare agreement between libertarian billionaire Elon Musk and socialist senator Bernie Sanders on AI's threat to jobs is a significant indicator. This consensus from the political fringe suggests the issue's gravity is being underestimated by mainstream policymakers and is a sign of a profound, undeniable shift.

After temporary alliances like 'Red and Tech vs. Blue', the next major political shift will unite the establishment left and right against the tech industry. Blues resent tech's capitalists, Reds resent its immigrants, and the political center blames it for societal ills. This will create a powerful, unified front aiming to curtail tech's influence and wealth.

A rift is forming within the Republican party over AI. An anti-elite, "MAGA originalist" faction, championed by figures like Steve Bannon, views AI not as innovation but as a deliberate effort by Big Tech to replace American workers, setting up a conflict with pro-technology conservatives.

For current AI valuations to be realized, AI must deliver unprecedented efficiency, likely causing mass job displacement. This would disrupt the consumer economy that supports these companies, creating a fundamental contradiction where the condition for success undermines the system itself.

Influencers from opposite ends of the political spectrum are finding common ground in their warnings about AI's potential to destroy jobs and creative fields. This unusual consensus suggests AI is becoming a powerful, non-traditional wedge issue that could reshape political alliances and public discourse.

A new populist coalition is emerging to counter Big Tech's influence, uniting politicians from opposite ends of the spectrum like Senator Ed Markey and Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene. This alliance successfully defeated an industry-backed provision to block state-level AI regulation, signaling a significant political realignment.

The political battle over AI is not a standard partisan fight. Factions within both Democratic and Republican parties are forming around pro-regulation, pro-acceleration, and job-protection stances, creating complex, cross-aisle coalitions and conflicts.

By publishing an op-ed in a typically oppositional outlet, Senator Sanders is positioning AI-driven job loss as a bipartisan wedge issue. This move suggests a political strategy to make the economic impact of AI a central theme in upcoming elections, potentially starting with the 2026 U.S. midterms.

The current administration's singular focus on AI has exacerbated a K-shaped recovery, hurting the average voter. To win re-election, politicians will be forced to stimulate other sectors of the economy to lift "Main Street" out of recession, making the concentrated AI/Meg7 trade less attractive moving forward.

The 2028 GOP Primary May Fracture Along an Anti-AI, Pro-Worker Populist Lane | RiffOn