Economist Tyler Cowen predicts that as AI makes information ubiquitous and cover letters perfect, value will shift to non-public knowledge, or "secrets." Confidential insights on how networks operate and decisions are made, shared through human relationships, will become critical. A trusted human who can vouch for you will be more important than ever.
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AI has made knowledge—the ability to produce information—cheap and accessible. The new currency is wisdom: knowing what matters, where to focus, and how to find purpose. This shifts the focus of work and education from learning facts to developing critical thinking, empathy, and judgment.
As AI provides customers with unprecedented information, the ability to build genuine trust and relationships—akin to doing business on a handshake—will become the key competitive advantage. AI provides the information (the yin), but human connection provides the authenticity and trust (the yang) needed to close deals.
Jim VandeHei predicts that as AI makes general information free and ubiquitous, the market value of distinctive, human-driven expertise will soar. Media companies with deep, niche reporting will thrive, while those producing generic content that can be easily replicated by AI will fail.
The primary bottleneck for advancing AI is high-quality, tacit data—skills and local insights that are hard to digitize. Individuals can retain economic value by guarding this information and using it to train personalized AI tools that work for them, not their employers.
Due to the nascent and highly specialized nature of AI, VCs find that traditional expert networks are no longer effective for diligence. Instead, they must rely on curated personal networks of deep specialists who can genuinely assess new technologies and teams.
As AI commoditizes execution and intellectual labor, the only remaining scarce human skill will be judgment: the wisdom to know what to build, why, and for whom. This shifts economic value from effort and hard work to discernment and taste.
As AI makes information universally accessible, traditional status markers like 'knowledge' will devalue. The new status will be derived from the ability to convene and lead large, in-person communities. Influence will be measured by one's capacity to facilitate real-world human connection and experiences, fighting digital isolation.
AI is commoditizing knowledge by making vast amounts of data accessible. Therefore, the leaders who thrive will not be those with the most data, but those with the most judgment. The key differentiator will be the uniquely human ability to apply wisdom, context, and insight to AI-generated outputs to make effective decisions.
The internet leveled the playing field by making information accessible. AI will do the same for intelligence, making expertise a commodity. The new human differentiator will be the creativity and ability to define and solve novel, previously un-articulable problems.
Even if AI can perfectly replicate all goods and services, human desire for authenticity, connection, and imperfection will create a premium for human-provided labor. This suggests new economies will emerge based not on efficiency, but on providing what is uniquely and quirkily human.
