Beijing's political commitment to annual growth targets prevents it from allowing the economy to slow down and rebalance. Instead of fostering sustainable consumption, it must constantly stimulate investment and exports, perpetuating the very imbalances that threaten long-term stability.

Despite a property downturn subtracting nearly 1.5 percentage points from GDP, China's economy is buoyed by a hyper-competitive manufacturing sector. With cost advantages of 20-40% in key high-tech sectors, its export growth is outpacing global trade, creating a resilient but unbalanced economic picture.

With its domestic, investment-led growth model broken, China has pivoted to an export-heavy strategy. This significant shift creates new vulnerabilities as it must fight for a shrinking pie of global demand amid rising protectionism.

The widely reported collapse of China's housing market is not an organic crisis but a state-directed reallocation of capital. By instructing banks to prioritize industrial capacity over mortgages, the government is deliberately shifting funds away from a speculative real estate bubble and into strategic sectors like microchips to counter US sanctions and build self-sufficiency.

China's economy presents a stark contrast: a collapsing domestic property market versus a remarkably resilient export sector. Despite tariffs, exports remain strong because China continues to improve product quality and price competitiveness, maintaining global manufacturing dominance.

China's economic model, driven by internal provincial competition, creates massive overcapacity. This is intentionally turned into an asset by dumping subsidized products (like EVs) into foreign markets below cost. The goal is to eliminate foreign competitors, create dependency, and convert domestic economic chaos into international power.

According to IMF data analysis, China's manufacturing surplus as a share of its GDP has surpassed 2%, exceeding the levels of Japan and Germany during their most dominant export eras. This indicates China is achieving global manufacturing dominance at a scale and speed that is historically unprecedented, fundamentally altering global trade dynamics.

China deliberately maintains an undervalued renminbi to make its exports cheaper globally. This strategy props up its manufacturing-led growth model, even though it hinders economic rebalancing and reduces the purchasing power of its own citizens.

The dramatic drop in China's Fixed Asset Investment isn't a sign of economic failure. Instead, it reflects a deliberate government-led "anti-involution" campaign to strip out industrial overcapacity. This painful but planned adjustment aims to create a more streamlined, profitable economy, fundamentally reordering its growth model away from sheer volume.