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For companies that are not generational outliers, the first serious M&A offer is usually the best one they will receive. Lair Hippo's philosophy is that founders should take these initial offers extremely seriously, as trying to run a lengthy process often fails to produce a better outcome and risks the original deal.
Due to VC deal mechanics like liquidation preferences, a founder's take-home pay can be higher from a smaller, earlier acquisition. A $25M all-cash deal today might be more valuable to the founding team than a $125M exit a few years later after a significant VC round.
Large companies rarely make cold acquisition offers. The typical path is a gradual process starting with a partnership or a small investment. This allows the acquirer to conduct due diligence from the inside, understand the startup's value, and build relationships before escalating to a full buyout.
Instead of arguing over a valuation number, effective M&A negotiation involves reframing the conversation around the founder's personal risk tolerance. Help them weigh the certainty of an acquisition against the high-risk, "growth-at-all-costs" path demanded by VCs.
A successful exit is a highly choreographed dance, not an abrupt decision. Founders should spend years building relationships with line-of-business leaders—not just Corp Dev—at potential acquiring companies. The goal is to 'incept' the idea of an acquisition long before it's needed.
When a founder faces a major acquisition offer, the pivotal question isn't just about valuation, but temperament. A board member should ask, "Are you built to be a public company CEO?" The intense stress and public scrutiny aren't for everyone. Pushing a founder who isn't an "IPO guy" to reject an offer can be a disastrous long-term decision.
Initial lowball acquisition offers can feel defeating, forcing a founder to abandon the exit dream. This forces a necessary shift to building a sustainable, long-term business. This new focus, ironically, is what makes the company far more attractive to acquirers in the future.
M&A opportunities are fleeting. The internal champion for a deal might leave or company priorities can shift dramatically, killing the opportunity. The OpenAI/TBPN deal likely wouldn't happen post-'Code Red'. Time and management turnover are the enemies of all deals, making it crucial to seize good offers.
From a buyer's perspective, founders should sell after they have demonstrated a strong growth trajectory and hit an inflection point. Pitching a 'hockey stick' forecast without historical proof is less compelling. Waiting until you have proof of the upswing optimizes both value and strategic interest.
Founders who wait until they need to sell have already failed. A successful exit requires a multi-year 'background process' of building relationships. The key is to engage with SVPs and business unit leaders at potential acquirers—the people who will champion the deal internally—not just the Corp Dev team who merely execute transactions.
The common advice to wait for an inbound acquisition offer is often pushed by VCs whose incentives are to chase massive, fund-returning exits. This advice misaligns with founders, who may benefit from a proactive selling process that secures a life-changing, albeit smaller, outcome.