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Success in new products requires two distinct skills: process excellence (doing projects right) and portfolio management (doing the right projects). Most companies have decent processes but are extremely weak at project selection and strategy, which is the bigger lever for success.
To foster experimentation, leaders should stop judging innovative projects individually and instead group them as a single portfolio. This reframes inevitable failures as part of a diversified strategy, similar to a stock portfolio, where the overall return matters, not the performance of any single asset.
Tying a PM's success to getting their project approved creates perverse incentives. Instead, frame discovery as a team effort to find the right opportunities. This encourages rigorous, unbiased investigation and celebrates killing bad ideas, not just launching new ones.
For hardworking and talented individuals, the single most important variable for success is the project they choose. Working on a weak market opportunity or a poor founder-fit project can waste years of effort, regardless of skill.
To solve resource overload, don't compare all projects directly. Categorize them into "buckets" (e.g., bold innovations vs. minor fixes). Then, rank and kill the lowest-performing projects *within* each bucket to reallocate resources effectively and protect bolder initiatives.
It is easy to confuse process mastery with product success. The most critical skill is judgment—the ability to identify what truly creates customer value. This is proven not by your process, but by the ultimate business outcome: customers paying with their time or money.
When a product team is busy but their impact is minimal or hard to quantify, the root cause is often not poor execution but a lack of clarity in the overarching company strategy. Fixing the high-level strategy provides the focus necessary for product work to create meaningful value.
Teams often focus on perfectly implementing frameworks like OKRs or Discovery, creating a false sense of achievement. This "alibi progress" prioritizes methodology correctness over creating value in a specific context, leading to lots of outputs but no outcomes.
PE firms often assume engineering is the primary growth constraint in small software companies. The actual bottleneck is typically product management. Without a dedicated product leader to define what to build, engineers will still build, but they'll often build the wrong things, wasting resources and creating complexity.
An entrepreneur's success rate dramatically shifted from 0 for 12 to 5 for 5 not because his execution improved, but because his project selection did. He stopped chasing high-risk, "one in a million" moonshots (like building the next social network) and focused on businesses with clearer paths to revenue (e-commerce, services).
Established companies operate an 'execution engine' that values predictability and eliminates failure. This directly conflicts with the 'innovation engine,' which requires uncertainty, experimentation, and learning from failure to discover future value. This fundamental tension is the primary reason corporate innovation initiatives often stall or fail.