Despite acquiring MGM for $8 billion, Amazon licensed the entire James Bond franchise to its rival, Netflix. This strategic move demonstrates that even for owners of premier IP, the distribution power and global reach of a dominant platform can be more valuable than maintaining exclusivity, suggesting a key strategy for content owners.
Netflix's acquisition of Warner Bros., including plans to continue theatrical releases and maintain HBO Max, shows that pure-play streaming is evolving. To dominate, streaming giants must now integrate and preserve traditional studio operations and business models rather than simply aiming to disrupt them.
Disney, known for aggressively protecting its IP, is partnering with OpenAI. This pivot acknowledges AI-generated content is inevitable, making proactive licensing a smarter strategy than reactive lawsuits to stay relevant and monetize its vast library of characters in the AI era.
Disney, famously litigious in protecting its intellectual property, is licensing its characters to OpenAI because its leadership recognizes AI-generated content will happen regardless of their approval. This partnership is a proactive strategy to control the narrative, negotiate terms, and monetize an unstoppable technological shift.
The cynical take on the Netflix-WB deal is that Netflix's true goal is to eliminate movie theaters as a competitor for consumer leisure time. By pulling all WB films from theatrical release, it can strengthen its at-home streaming dominance and capture a larger share of audience attention.
Netflix's bid for Warner Bros. may be a brilliant game theory play. Even if the deal is blocked by regulators, it forces its primary rival into a multi-year acquisition limbo. This distraction freezes the competitor's strategy, allowing Netflix to extend its market lead. It's a win-win for Netflix.
Instead of exclusive, all-encompassing deals, media conglomerates like Disney should strategically license separate parts of their IP portfolio (e.g., Pixar to Google, Marvel to Anthropic). This creates a competitive market among LLM providers, driving up the value of the IP and maximizing licensing revenue.
The deal is less about consolidating media power and more about arming Netflix with a vast IP library to compete for attention against free, user-generated content platforms like TikTok and YouTube, which pose a greater existential threat.
The intense bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery is driven by unique strategic goals. Paramount seeks subscriber scale for survival, Netflix wants premium IP and sports rights, and Comcast primarily needs modern franchises like Harry Potter to fuel its profitable theme park business.
While Netflix is a market leader, its uncharacteristic pursuit of a massive M&A deal suggests its organic growth model may be reaching its limits, forcing it to acquire legacy assets and IP to maintain dominance.
Disney is licensing its IP to OpenAI, avoiding the "Napster trap" where music labels sued file-sharing services into bankruptcy but lost control of the streaming market. By partnering, Disney shapes the use of its IP in AI and benefits financially, rather than fighting a losing legal battle against technology's advance.