The U.S. Navy's ability to track Soviet submarines while keeping its own hidden threatened the USSR's second-strike capability, the cornerstone of nuclear deterrence. This technological and financial asymmetry pushed the Soviets toward de-escalation and ultimately, ending the war.

The nearly trillion-dollar US defense budget is misleading. The vast majority is locked into fixed costs like salaries, facilities, and sustaining legacy systems. The actual procurement budget for new technology is at a historic low as a percentage of GDP, constraining modernization.

The 1969 Sino-Soviet border war led China to view the USSR as its primary adversary. By aligning with the U.S., China forced the Soviets to heavily militarize a second massive border, fatally overextending an economy already competing with NATO in Europe.

The US stopped its ground offensive in Iraq after 100 hours, short of toppling Saddam Hussein. This was because the Soviet Union drew a red line: no regime change. Preserving Gorbachev's cooperation to finalize the end of the Cold War was the primary strategic goal, superseding objectives in Iraq.

In the Soviet system, factory managers consistently lied about inventories and needs to meet quotas. These falsehoods were aggregated up the command chain, resulting in fundamentally flawed national data. The government was therefore blind to the true value of capital, labor, or consumer demand, leading to catastrophic misallocations.

To maintain imperial control, the Soviet Union intentionally spread the manufacturing of complex goods, like airplanes, across different republics. This policy backfired catastrophically upon dissolution, as each new nation inherited fractions of a supply chain, rendering them unable to produce finished goods and crippling their economies.

History shows a strong correlation between extreme national debt and societal breakdown. Countries that sustain a debt-to-GDP ratio over 130% for an extended period (e.g., 18 months) tend to tear themselves apart through civil war or revolution, not external attack.

Countries are rapidly increasing defense spending due to global instability and the US's shifting role. Massive backlogs for US equipment, like a reported 15-year wait for Patriot missiles, are forcing allies to invest in domestic production and R&D for assured supply.

A historical indicator of a superpower's decline is when its spending on debt servicing surpasses its military budget. The US crossed this threshold a few years ago, while China is massively increasing military spending. This economic framework offers a stark, quantitative lens through which to view the long-term power shift between the two nations.