In neoadjuvant settings, ctDNA monitoring allows for real-time therapy adjustment. Data from the iSpy platform shows 80% of hormone-positive patients clear ctDNA with half the chemotherapy, enabling de-escalation, while the remaining 20% can be identified for escalated treatment.

While not yet validated, ctDNA is being used by clinical experts as a de-escalation tool to provide confidence when stopping long-term maintenance therapies like PARP inhibitors. This novel application focuses on reducing treatment burden rather than solely detecting disease progression.

Historically, discussing adjuvant therapy for Stage III colon cancer was quick and straightforward, while Stage II was complex. The advent of ctDNA testing has reversed this dynamic. Stage II decisions are now clearer (treat if positive), while Stage III discussions have become much longer and more nuanced as clinicians integrate ctDNA data with patient preferences.

A positive ctDNA test indicating minimal residual disease is strongly linked to recurrence. This expert argues clinicians have an obligation to act on this information, even without definitive guidelines. Framing inaction as unacceptable challenges the passive "wait-and-see" approach.

The landmark DYNAMIC-2 study showed that using ctDNA to guide adjuvant therapy decisions in Stage II colon cancer cut chemotherapy use by 50% (from 30% to 15% of patients). This de-escalation was achieved without any negative impact on patient outcomes, validating the approach.

The practice-changing DYNAMIC trial showed that a ctDNA-guided strategy for stage II colorectal cancer reduces adjuvant chemotherapy use by 50%. Despite this significant de-escalation of treatment, patient outcomes and survival rates were identical to the standard-of-care approach.

Despite the success of ctDNA-guided de-escalation in Stage II disease, the DYNAMIC-3 trial in Stage III patients showed that ctDNA-negative patients had worse outcomes with de-escalated therapy. This serves as a critical warning against this de-escalation strategy in higher-risk patients for now.

While promising, current ctDNA technology is not robust enough to justify stopping effective neoadjuvant systemic therapy in bladder cancer, even if a patient becomes ctDNA negative. Experts argue against using it to de-escalate treatment outside of a clinical trial due to the risk of undertreating a lethal disease.

Observational data from the BESPOKE study showed that the survival benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy was only seen in patients who tested positive for ctDNA post-surgery. In contrast, ctDNA-negative patients had overlapping survival curves whether they received chemotherapy or not, questioning its utility for that group.