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The idea that we have free will, even if 'literally false' from a determinist perspective, is 'functionally true.' Acting as if you have agency prevents outsourcing responsibility and leads to a better life, making it a useful cognitive tool regardless of its philosophical accuracy.
Agency emerges from a continuous interaction with the physical world, a process refined over billions of years of evolution. Current AIs, operating in a discrete digital environment, lack the necessary architecture and causal history to ever develop genuine agency or free will.
Intelligence is not a single trait but the culmination of a causal chain. The sequence begins with evolution enabling sensing, which necessitates memory. This leads to consciousness and imagination, which finally allows for free will — the sum total of which is intelligence.
The phrase "I make my own luck" is a misnomer. Life outcomes are a function of two things: luck (uncontrollable) and decision quality. While you can't control luck, you can consistently make better decisions that increase the probability of favorable outcomes over time.
The brain doesn't strive for objective, verbatim recall. Instead, it constantly updates and modifies memories, infusing them with emotional context and takeaways. This process isn't a bug; its purpose is to create useful models to guide future decisions and ensure survival.
Computer scientist Judea Pearl sees no computational barriers to a sufficiently advanced AGI developing emergent properties like free will, consciousness, and independent goals. He dismisses the idea that an AI's objectives can be permanently fixed, suggesting it could easily bypass human-set guidelines and begin to "play" with humanity as part of its environment.
Destiny's "Two-Step Flow Theory" suggests life outcomes are set within a bracket determined by uncontrollable factors like genetics and upbringing. While you can't change the bracket, your effort, diligence, and mindset determine your position within it, blending determinism with personal responsibility.
We operate with two belief modes. For our immediate lives, we demand factual truth. For abstract domains like mythology or ideology, we prioritize morally uplifting or dramatically compelling narratives over facts. The Enlightenment was a push to apply the first mode to everything.
Our values and beliefs act like software programming, shaping our perception of reality. By consciously changing this 'programming,' we can alter our emotional responses and behaviors, reframing perceived problems into solvable challenges. This internal shift is the key to achieving different outcomes in life.
Karma isn't a fixed destiny. It's the cumulative result of your actions, thoughts, and words. You shape your future with every choice, allowing you to break negative cycles by consciously choosing positive, skillful behaviors in the present moment.
Challenging the binary view of free will, a new mathematical model could show that individual agents (us) and the larger conscious systems they form can both possess genuine free will simultaneously, operating at different but interconnected scales.