As the most valuable companies like SpaceX and OpenAI stay private, they exclude the public from wealth creation. This dynamic, where 401ks stagnate while elite funds profit, erodes the social fabric and could lead to a societal catastrophe, especially as AI simultaneously displaces jobs.

Unlike a decade ago, today's most transformative, high-growth companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are choosing to remain private for longer. This trend concentrates the highest potential returns in private markets, making it difficult for public investors to 'own the future' of technology.

In the 1980s, companies like Apple went public early as a fundraising necessity, allowing public investors to capture most of the growth. Today, robust private markets mean companies stay private longer, making IPOs primarily a liquidity event for insiders and VCs, with less upside left for the public.

Top-tier private companies like Stripe and Databricks are actively choosing to delay IPOs, viewing the public market as an inferior "product." With access to cheaper private capital and freedom from quarterly scrutiny and activist investors, staying private offers a better environment to build long-term value.

As top startups delay IPOs indefinitely, institutional portfolios are seeing their venture allocations morph into significant, illiquid growth equity holdings. These "private forever" companies are great businesses but create a portfolio construction problem, tying up capital that would otherwise be recycled into new venture funds.

Well-intentioned regulations like Sarbanes-Oxley increased the burden of going public, causing companies to stay private longer. An unintended consequence is that the bulk of wealth creation now occurs in private markets, accessible only to accredited investors and excluding the general public.

Gurley argues that the rise of mega VC funds has fundamentally changed capital markets. These funds convince successful companies like Stripe to stay private longer, effectively 'hijacking' their hyper-growth years from the public markets. This prevents public investors from participating in wealth creation as they did with companies like Amazon.

Index providers are including massive IPOs like SpaceX into benchmarks within days of listing. This forces passive index funds, which hold vast amounts of retirement savings, to automatically buy these shares while they are still highly volatile, exposing everyday savers to the risk of buying at an improper price.

The trend of companies staying private longer and raising huge late-stage rounds isn't just about VC exuberance. It's a direct consequence of a series of regulations (like Sarbanes-Oxley) that made going public extremely costly and onerous. As a result, the private capital markets evolved to fill the gap, fundamentally changing venture capital.