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As the most valuable companies like SpaceX and OpenAI stay private, they exclude the public from wealth creation. This dynamic, where 401ks stagnate while elite funds profit, erodes the social fabric and could lead to a societal catastrophe, especially as AI simultaneously displaces jobs.
Unlike a decade ago, today's most transformative, high-growth companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are choosing to remain private for longer. This trend concentrates the highest potential returns in private markets, making it difficult for public investors to 'own the future' of technology.
The current AI investment frenzy will create a paradox: significant layoffs as companies use AI to become more efficient, coupled with immense wealth concentration. This will create a class of "haves and have-nots" and set the stage for major antitrust battles against newly public AI giants by 2027-2028.
The wealth gap between asset owners and wage earners, once seen as a temporary economic trend, is solidifying into a permanent societal structure due to AI. This shift makes upward mobility nearly impossible for the 90% of people who do not own a diversified portfolio of assets.
The inability of the general public to invest in generational companies like OpenAI creates a societal risk. When a generation feels economically disconnected from major value creation and simultaneously threatened by that same technology, it fosters a negative future for everyone.
Extreme wealth inequality creates a fundamental risk beyond social unrest. When the most powerful citizens extricate themselves from public systems—schools, security, healthcare, transport—they lose empathy and any incentive to invest in the nation's core infrastructure. This decay of shared experience and investment leads to societal fragility.
The widespread fear of AI is not about the technology itself but is a symptom of extreme wealth inequality. With opportunity already hoarded by the wealthy, the median person feels vulnerable to any disruption. The AI panic is thus the latest expression of a society where economic dignity is already eroded.
To prevent the social unrest caused by mass AI-driven unemployment, governments will be forced to act. They will heavily tax the few hyper-successful tech companies and redistribute that wealth to the public, creating a system where extreme capitalism's outcomes necessitate socialist policies to maintain stability.
Beyond its use in warfare or the risk of AGI, Ray Dalio identifies a critical societal risk of AI: it will worsen wealth inequality. It achieves this by replacing jobs while simultaneously driving massive stock market gains concentrated in a very small number of technology companies.
To combat public fear of AI-driven wealth disparity, the tech industry should champion direct equity ownership for all citizens over UBI. Creating a fund like 'Invest America' that gives everyone a stake in major tech companies would align public interest with technological progress, unlike UBI which can strip away purpose.
Public skepticism towards AI is fueled by the perception that wealth is being concentrated by a select few. A radical solution is to grant a broad base of people direct ownership stakes in foundational model companies, aligning incentives and shifting the narrative to one of shared investment in the future.