The REIT sector is currently experiencing a rare wave of five or more simultaneous liquidations. This creates a target-rich environment for nimble, event-driven investors who can actively trade these situations and recycle capital as deals progress and news is released.

The REIT market transformed from four highly correlated sectors (office, industrial, retail, residential) to a diverse universe including data centers and towers. Secular risks like e-commerce mean subsectors no longer move in unison, demanding specialized analysis rather than general real estate knowledge.

A simple cap rate analysis for REITs is misleading. A true total return calculation must add 2-3% for rent growth and factor in the amplifying effect of leverage, which can turn a perceived 6% yield into a 10%+ long-term return.

ReSeed finds significant opportunities in the sub-institutional market driven by operational incompetence, not just market cycles. Assets are often mispriced due to unsophisticated owners, brokers who don't understand the property's potential, or busted sales processes like listing on residential MLS.

Beyond the crowded AI trade, smart money sees opportunity in overlooked sectors. These include healthcare, which is at a 30-year low in relative valuation, and companies serving the middle-income consumer, a segment poised to benefit from upcoming tax reforms.

In a REIT liquidation, management teams with little equity ownership may be incentivized to accept the first reasonable offer to ensure a quick wind-down. This contrasts with an owner-operator who would fight for every dollar, potentially leaving value on the table for shareholders.

The dominance of passive funds and hyper-short-term pod shops has doubled the average stock price movement in the REIT space. This increased volatility creates opportunities for long-term investors to capitalize on exaggerated market reactions to minor news.

The valuation gap between public and private real estate is historically wide. Sunbelt apartment REITs trade at implied cap rates of 6.5-7%, while similar private assets trade near 5-5.25%. This disconnect presents a compelling opportunity for public market investors to acquire quality assets at a significant discount.

Recent poor REIT performance isn't a sign of a broken model. It's the result of a classic capital cycle where cheap money in 2021 fueled a building boom, leading to a supply glut in 2023-24. With new construction now halted, the cycle is turning favorable.