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True intelligence is adaptive and builds upon partial progress. Terence Tao notes current AIs demonstrate "cleverness" by using trial-and-error at massive scale. They can't yet grab a 'handhold,' stay there, and pull others up—a cumulative process that defines collaborative human intelligence.
Even with vast training data, current AI models are far less sample-efficient than humans. This limits their ability to adapt and learn new skills on the fly. They resemble a perpetual new hire who can access information but lacks the deep, instinctual learning that comes from experience and weight updates.
AI intelligence shouldn't be measured with a single metric like IQ. AIs exhibit "jagged intelligence," being superhuman in specific domains (e.g., mastering 200 languages) while simultaneously lacking basic capabilities like long-term planning, making them fundamentally unlike human minds.
The popular conception of AGI as a pre-trained system that knows everything is flawed. A more realistic and powerful goal is an AI with a human-like ability for continual learning. This system wouldn't be deployed as a finished product, but as a 'super-intelligent 15-year-old' that learns and adapts to specific roles.
The popular concept of AGI as a static, all-knowing entity is flawed. A more realistic and powerful model is one analogous to a 'super intelligent 15-year-old'—a system with a foundational capacity for rapid, continual learning. Deployment would involve this AI learning on the job, not arriving with complete knowledge.
Current AI models resemble a student who grinds 10,000 hours on a narrow task. They achieve superhuman performance on benchmarks but lack the broad, adaptable intelligence of someone with less specific training but better general reasoning. This explains the gap between eval scores and real-world utility.
Cognitive scientist Donald Hoffman argues that even advanced AI like ChatGPT is fundamentally a powerful statistical analysis tool. It can process vast amounts of data to find patterns but lacks the deep intelligence or a theoretical path to achieving genuine consciousness or subjective experience.
A critical weakness of current AI models is their inefficient learning process. They require exponentially more experience—sometimes 100,000 times more data than a human encounters in a lifetime—to acquire their skills. This highlights a key difference from human cognition and a major hurdle for developing more advanced, human-like AI.
Human intelligence leaped forward when language enabled horizontal scaling (collaboration). Current AI development is focused on vertical scaling (creating bigger 'individual genius' models). The next frontier is distributed AI that can share intent, knowledge, and innovation, mimicking humanity's cognitive evolution.
Current AI progress isn't true, scalable intelligence but a 'brute force' effort. Amjad Masad contends models improve via massive, manual data labeling and contrived RL environments for specific tasks, a method he calls 'functional AGI,' not a fundamental crack in understanding intelligence.
Current AI development focuses on "vertical scaling" (bigger models), akin to early humans getting smarter individually. The real breakthrough, like humanity's invention of language, will come from "horizontal scaling"—enabling AI agents to share knowledge and collaborate.