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Instead of focusing on the current price, a more effective framework is to ask if you would be excited to invest more at a significantly higher valuation if the company executes well over the next six months. This tests your conviction in the company's long-term, generational potential.

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For early-stage growth companies, an investment memo must prove a dual thesis: not only will the initial capital generate a fair return, but the company's progress will make it *more* attractive to buy additional shares at higher prices as it de-risks. If you wouldn't dollar-cost-average up, you shouldn't make the initial investment.

When a company is growing 10x or 50x year-over-year, obsessing over the entry multiple is a mistake. An initially 'insane' valuation can look cheap in retrospect. The primary focus should be on determining if the company is on an exponential curve; price is the least important factor in that equation.

Frame a significant valuation increase between funding rounds by identifying the core assumptions of the business model. Then, demonstrate which of those assumptions have been proven true, thereby de-risking the investment and justifying the new, higher valuation.

Effective due diligence isn't a checklist, but the collection of many small data points—revenue, team retention, customer love, CVC interest. A strong investment is a "beam" where all points align positively. Any misalignment creates doubt and likely signals a "no," adhering to the "if it's not a hell yes, it's a no" rule.

A compressed diligence process relies heavily on projections. A superior approach is building a relationship over 1-2 years, which allows an investor to witness the company's actual execution against its stated goals, providing far greater conviction than any financial model.

Intrinsic value shouldn't be confused with a 12-month price target. It is a calculation of a company's long-term worth, akin to a private market or takeover value. This stable anchor allows investors to assess the "margin of safety" at any given market price and ignore daily noise, rather than chasing a specific trading level.

Craver uses a powerful thought experiment to filter investments: "If the stock market closed tomorrow and reopened in three years, what would you want to own?" This mental model forces a focus on durable, high-quality companies with secular tailwinds, filtering out trades based on short-term, speculative data points.

A stock's valuation frames the core question an investor must answer. At six times earnings, the question is about near-term survival; at 50 times, it's about decades of growth. Your job is not to find a price, but to find a question you can confidently answer.

To generate fund-returning outcomes (5-6x), a simple 3x potential isn't enough. A company must be compelling enough that after you've made your 3x, another investor can clearly see a path to make *their* 3x. Without this 'next 3x' potential, the company will lack exit opportunities and liquidity.

Instead of focusing on relative performance against an index, the speaker sets an absolute goal of doubling capital every five years. This forces a highly selective process, screening for businesses with the potential to be 10x, 50x, or 100x winners, and treats benchmarks merely as an indicator of opportunity cost.