During the 2023 banking crisis, IBKR’s holdings of short-dated bonds allowed it to benefit from rising rates while competitors with long-dated assets suffered. This shows a conservative balance sheet is not just defensive but an offensive tool to win client trust and outperform during turmoil.

The best time to launch a company is at the bottom of a recession. Key inputs like talent and real estate are cheap, which enforces extreme financial discipline. If a business can survive this environment, it emerges as a lean, resilient "fighting machine" perfectly positioned to capture upside when the market recovers.

Conventional definitions of risk, like volatility, are flawed. True risk is an event you did not anticipate that forces you to abandon your strategy at a bad time. Foreseeable events, like a 50% market crash, are not risks but rather expected parts of the market cycle that a robust strategy should be built to withstand.

Contrary to typical risk-off strategies, ARK Invest manages risk by concentrating its portfolio into its highest-conviction names during market downturns. Conversely, during bull markets, as opportunities like IPOs increase, the firm diversifies its holdings to capture broader upside.

During profound economic instability, the winning strategy isn't chasing the highest returns, but rather avoiding catastrophic loss. The greatest risks are not missed upside, but holding only cash as inflation erodes its value or relying solely on a paycheck.

Howard Marks argues that you cannot maintain a risk-on posture and then opportunistically switch to a defensive one just before a downturn. Effective risk management requires that defense be an integral, permanent component of every investment decision, ensuring resilience during bad times.

Warren Buffett's massive cash reserve isn't just a defensive move to avoid risk; it's an offensive strategy to preserve "optionality." He is preparing to deploy capital and acquire high-quality assets at a deep discount when others are forced to sell during an inevitable market panic.

The primary risk of sizing up at an inflection point is being wrong. The best defense isn't a valuation floor but portfolio liquidity. This allows an investor to "hit the eject button" and exit quickly, a crucial advantage that protects against significant losses from a failed thesis.

Reframe hedging not as pure defense, but as an offensive tool. A proper hedge produces a cash windfall during a downturn, providing the capital and psychological confidence to buy assets at a discount when others are panic-selling.