Senator Warren highlights a critical omission in standard economic calculations: the cost of servicing debt. Expenses like credit card interest and student loan payments are often left out, meaning official data doesn't capture the full financial pressure American families are facing.

According to hedge fund manager Ray Dalio, the only historical path out of a terminal national debt cycle is a "beautiful deleveraging." This requires a painful but precisely balanced mix of austerity, debt forgiveness, wealth taxes, and printing money to avoid societal collapse.

Michael Mauboussin's research reveals a surprising trend. Despite a long period of low interest rates, non-financial corporate debt to total capital is around 15% today, significantly lower than the historical average of 26%. This suggests balance sheets are stronger than commonly perceived.

Senator Warren highlights a major flaw in how economic stress is measured: the cost of servicing debt from credit cards and student loans is often excluded from calculations. This omission masks a huge financial burden on families, making their economic situation appear healthier than it actually is.

Economist Arthur Laffer argues that debt is merely a tool. Debt used for productive investments that generate high returns (e.g., Reagan's tax cuts to spur growth) can be beneficial. In contrast, debt used for non-productive purposes (e.g., paying people not to work) is destructive to the economy.

History shows a strong correlation between extreme national debt and societal breakdown. Countries that sustain a debt-to-GDP ratio over 130% for an extended period (e.g., 18 months) tend to tear themselves apart through civil war or revolution, not external attack.

Investors fixate on Japan's high sovereign debt. However, Wagner points out that the central bank owns a large portion. More importantly, the corporate and household sectors are net cash positive, making the overall economy far less levered than the single headline number suggests.

Historically, countries crossing a 130% debt-to-GDP ratio experience revolution or collapse. As the U.S. approaches this threshold (currently 122%), its massive debt forces zero-sum political fights over a shrinking pie, directly fueling the social unrest and polarization seen today.

According to economist Robert Solow, the issue with metrics like GDP isn't mismeasurement, but a deliberate choice to exclude factors like natural resource depletion. The system is flawed because we have decided not to measure certain things, which creates a distorted view of economic health.