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Established metrics for evaluating software (high gross margins, capital-light) are obsolete in the AI paradigm. Top AI companies often exhibit opposite traits, like low margins due to inference costs, signaling the "death of spreadsheet investing."

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Unlike the homogenous SaaS world where most P&Ls looked similar, the AI ecosystem features wildly diverse business models. Companies in the same category, like inference, can have completely different capital structures and margin profiles (e.g., leasing GPUs vs. building data centers), making standardized evaluation impossible.

The compute-heavy nature of AI makes traditional 80%+ SaaS gross margins impossible. Companies should embrace lower margins as proof of user adoption and value delivery. This strategy mirrors the successful on-premise to cloud transition, which ultimately drove massive growth for companies like Microsoft.

Unlike in traditional SaaS, low gross margins in an AI company can be a positive indicator. They often reflect high inference costs, which directly correlates with strong user engagement with core AI features. High margins might suggest the AI is not the main product driver.

AI is making core software functionality nearly free, creating an existential crisis for traditional SaaS companies. The old model of 90%+ gross margins is disappearing. The future will be dominated by a few large AI players with lower margins, alongside a strategic shift towards monetizing high-value services.

During major technology shifts like the move to cloud or AI, the best companies (e.g., hyperscalers, Snowflake) often have terrible early margins. In AI, inference costs are falling so rapidly that a company's margin profile can improve dramatically. Judging an early AI company on SaaS-era margin expectations is a mistake.

Software has long commanded premium valuations due to near-zero marginal distribution costs. AI breaks this model. The significant, variable cost of inference means expenses scale with usage, fundamentally altering software's economic profile and forcing valuations down toward those of traditional industries.

The traditional SaaS model—high R&D/sales costs, low COGS—is being inverted. AI makes building software cheap but running it expensive due to high inference costs (COGS). This threatens profitability, as companies now face high customer acquisition costs AND high costs of goods sold.

Unlike SaaS, where high gross margins are key, an AI company with very high margins likely isn't seeing significant use of its core AI features. Low margins signal that customers are actively using compute-intensive products, a positive early indicator.

Contrary to traditional software evaluation, Andreessen Horowitz now questions AI companies that present high, SaaS-like gross margins. This often indicates a critical flaw: customers are not engaging with the costly, core AI features. Low margins, in this context, can be a positive signal of genuine product usage and value delivery.

Traditional SaaS metrics like 80%+ gross margins are misleading for AI companies. High inference costs lower margins, but if the absolute gross profit per customer is multiples higher than a SaaS equivalent, it's a superior business. The focus should shift from margin percentages to absolute gross profit dollars and multiples.