Buttigieg argues the government's essential function is investing in foundational, high-risk ideas like the internet or basic research. These ventures have massive potential but don't offer the short-term returns or clear monetization paths required by the private sector due to market failures.
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The "Genesis Mission" aims to use national labs' data and supercomputers for AI-driven science. This initiative marks a potential strategic shift away from the prevailing tech belief that breakthroughs like AGI will emerge exclusively from private corporations, reasserting a key role for government-led R&D in fundamental innovation.
OpenAI is lobbying the federal government to co-invest in its Stargate initiative, offering dedicated compute for public research. This positions OpenAI not just as a private company but as a key partner for national security and scientific advancement, following the big tech playbook of seeking large, foundational government contracts.
Alphabet's success with long-term projects like Waymo illustrates a key innovation model. The stable cash flow from a core business provides a safety net, allowing high-risk, capital-intensive ventures to survive years of losses and uncertainty—a luxury most VC-backed startups don't have.
The most effective government role in innovation is to act as a catalyst for high-risk, foundational R&D (like DARPA creating the internet). Once a technology is viable, the government should step aside to allow private sector competition (like SpaceX) to drive down costs and accelerate progress.
Founders with personal wealth and companies with massive cash-cow businesses, like Google's search ads, can afford to pursue high-risk, long-term projects like Waymo. This financial security allows them to endure long periods of unprofitability in pursuit of breakthrough innovations.
The most profound innovations in history, like vaccines, PCs, and air travel, distributed value broadly to society rather than being captured by a few corporations. AI could follow this pattern, benefiting the public more than a handful of tech giants, especially with geopolitical pressures forcing commoditization.
Unlike private companies seeking product-market fit within a specific segment, designing digital public infrastructure (DPI) requires a different mindset. The goal is creating a level playing field that enables *everyone* to participate and allows markets to innovate on top.
The slow deployment of the $7B federal EV charging program wasn't a failure but a deliberate choice. Buttigieg's team prioritized state-level program design and mandating US-made chargers, accepting a longer timeline to foster local innovation and a domestic supply chain.
Geopolitical competition with China has forced the U.S. government to treat AI development as a national security priority, similar to the Manhattan Project. This means the massive AI CapEx buildout will be implicitly backstopped to prevent an economic downturn, effectively turning the sector into a regulated utility.
To rebuild its industrial base at speed, the US government must abandon its typical strategy of funding many small players. Instead, it should identify and place huge bets on a handful of trusted, patriotic entrepreneurs, giving them the scale, offtake agreements, and backing necessary to compete globally.
