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A dangerous societal trend is the substitution of emotion for evidence. When people decide something is factually true simply because it "feels" true, they build deranged worldviews disconnected from reality. This leads to ineffective, feelings-based policies and harmful public discourse.
In populist eras, political discourse shifts from logic to emotion. People align with tribes, dehumanize opponents, and make decisions based on what feels right for their group. This makes rational, unifying solutions nearly impossible as the focus is on winning for one's team.
Citing philosopher Alex O'Connor, the human brain is not optimized for raw data but for narrative. By asking people to abandon myth and story—the things that feel most real—in favor of statistics, the rationalist movement is asking people to fight their own cognitive wiring.
Most arguments aren't a search for objective truth but an attempt to justify a pre-existing emotional state. People feel a certain way first, then construct a logical narrative to support it. To persuade, address the underlying feeling, not just the stated facts.
Evolution designed emotions to help you move forward and make decisions, not to accurately perceive the world. Relying on them for truth leads to poor long-term outcomes. Your feelings don't have inherent "validity"; they are biological reactions.
The overwhelming volume of fake online content creates a 'liar's dividend' where casting doubt on real events is easy. This has expanded beyond politics to become a core cultural mechanism, allowing people to reject any reality that conflicts with their worldview by simply labeling it as fake.
The human brain is not optimized for changing its mind based on new data, but for winning arguments. This evolutionary trait traps people in their existing frames of reference, preventing them from assessing reality objectively and finding effective solutions.
The AI debate is becoming polarized as influencers and politicians present subjective beliefs with high conviction, treating them as non-negotiable facts. This hinders balanced, logic-based conversations. It is crucial to distinguish testable beliefs from objective truths to foster productive dialogue about AI's future.
While it's wise to question motives, the message has been over-emphasized. This has led to counterproductive cynicism where people distrust all experts and data, believing "it's all fake news" and relying solely on gut feelings instead of evidence.
We don't reason our way into beliefs. Instead, a belief must first feel right emotionally and fit in socially. Only then does our rational mind work backward to create a logical justification. Logic is the final step, not the first.
Research on contentious topics finds that individuals with the most passionate and extreme views often possess the least objective knowledge. Their strong feelings create an illusion of understanding that blocks them from seeking or accepting new information.