A future trade settlement model involves US importers paying a stablecoin issuer, who buys a T-bill. A digital token, not the actual dollars, is sent to the foreign supplier. This keeps capital onshore funding the US government, while the foreign entity holds a digital asset that can be directed for US-aligned reinvestment.

Related Insights

The US government's backing of stablecoins is a strategic financial maneuver, not just a nod to crypto innovation. By promoting stablecoins backed by US Treasuries, it creates a new, frictionless global distribution channel to sell its debt at attractive rates to a worldwide audience.

To extend the solvency of U.S. debt, create a one-to-one stablecoin backed by treasuries. This would grant global citizens, particularly in countries with unstable currencies, a direct way to save in a dollar-denominated asset. This new demand could lengthen the runway for U.S. fiscal policy.

Stablecoin adoption by U.S. entities merely shifts existing dollar assets from bank deposits or money market funds. True new demand for the U.S. dollar only materializes when foreign households or corporates convert their local currencies into dollar-backed stablecoins for the first time, creating a net FX conversion.

By making T-bill-backed assets easily accessible to retail investors worldwide via smartphones, stablecoins could unlock a massive new pool of capital. This would create trillions in indirect demand for US Treasury paper, helping to finance US debt at lower rates while simultaneously advancing US geopolitical goals.

The primary, world-changing use case for stablecoins isn't cheaper domestic payments. It's providing global, frictionless access to the U.S. dollar. This allows citizens in countries with unstable currencies or untrustworthy central banks to opt-in to the U.S. financial system, effectively exporting America's most powerful product.

The US is embracing stablecoins to maintain the dollar's global dominance. By enabling easy access to digital dollars worldwide, it creates new, decentralized demand for US treasuries to back these stablecoins, offsetting reduced purchasing from foreign central banks.

The US government views stablecoins favorably because they increase global demand for the US dollar and, by extension, US treasuries. This digital dollarization serves as an economic check on other countries, particularly those with high inflation, by giving their citizens an exit from local currency.

As foreign central banks' demand for U.S. debt wanes, the rapidly growing stablecoin market has emerged as a major buyer. By backing tokens with U.S. Treasuries, issuers like Tether and Circle have created a powerful new demand vector, surpassing countries like Saudi Arabia and Germany.

For stablecoin companies like Tether seeking legitimacy in the US market, the simplest path is to back their assets with US treasuries. This aligns their interests with the US government, turning a potential adversary into a welcome buyer of national debt, even if it means lower returns compared to riskier assets.

Beyond a fintech innovation, USD stablecoins can be used by the US government as a tool of economic statecraft. They can direct foreign investment into strategic US sectors, create new demand for Treasury debt, and provide a mechanism to enforce sanctions by electronically controlling capital flows globally.

US Importers May Pay Foreign Suppliers With Tokens, Keeping Dollars Onshore | RiffOn