When facing economic ruin, humans don't become conservative. They enter a psychological 'lost domain' where they become risk-seeking, making high-stakes gambles like meme stocks or crypto in a desperate attempt to recover their losses in one move.
The appeal of ideologies like socialism to economically desperate populations is analogous to a starving Minecraft player eating rotten zombie flesh. While it's known to be poisonous, it's seen as the only available option to alleviate immediate suffering, even if it causes greater long-term harm.
A guest who grew up with a single mom and financial scarcity didn't become frugal. Instead, the feeling of 'never having enough' drove him to high-risk sports betting from age 15 in an attempt to quickly acquire the lifestyle he felt he was missing.
Holding cash is a losing strategy because governments consistently respond to economic crises by printing money. This devalues savings, effectively forcing individuals to invest in assets like stocks simply to protect their purchasing power against inflation.
A surge in highly speculative assets may not indicate a strong economy. It can be a sign that people feel so far behind financially that they're placing huge bets, believing in an "only up" market out of desperation rather than confidence.
Molly observed that extremely wealthy players reacted to losses with disproportionate fear and anger, despite the amounts being trivial to their net worth. This reveals that for high-achievers, losing triggers a deep-seated fear of losing control, making it a powerful psychological threat, not just a financial one.
The primary driver of market fluctuations is the dramatic shift in attitudes toward risk. In good times, investors become risk-tolerant and chase gains ('Risk is my friend'). In bad times, risk aversion dominates ('Get me out at any price'). This emotional pendulum causes security prices to fluctuate far more than their underlying intrinsic values.
During profound economic instability, the winning strategy isn't chasing the highest returns, but rather avoiding catastrophic loss. The greatest risks are not missed upside, but holding only cash as inflation erodes its value or relying solely on a paycheck.
The Great Depression paradoxically created more millionaires than other periods. Extreme hardship forces a subset of people into a "hunger mode" where their backs are against the wall. This desperation fuels incredible innovation and company creation, provided the government clears regulatory hurdles for rebuilding.
Financial history rhymes because the underlying driver—human nature—is constant. Core desires for wealth, recognition, and love, along with the fear of pain and envy of others' success, have remained unchanged for millennia. These emotions will continue to fuel bubbles and crashes, regardless of new technologies or financial instruments.
People feeling financially trapped don't become more responsible. Instead, they enter a psychological "lost domain" where they re-evaluate risk and seek a single, high-stakes move to recover everything at once, often leading to a downward spiral.