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The ongoing attacks on mail-in voting are not just about sowing chaos before the election. The strategy is to create a pretext for contesting the results after the fact, allowing the administration to seize ballots and claim fraud in key districts, mirroring the strategy used in Fulton County, Georgia.

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California's election issues stem not from people breaking laws, but from laws that create exploitable loopholes. Practices like unlimited ballot harvesting and lax signature verification allow for outcomes that feel fraudulent while remaining technically legal.

The existence of voter fraud can be predicted from first principles. When a system provides a clear incentive (influencing elections for personal or group benefit) and lacks robust safeguards (like strict voter ID laws), abuse is an inevitable outcome. This framing shifts the debate from proving individual instances to analyzing systemic vulnerabilities.

Criticisms of California's elections are often misplaced. The issue isn't fraud, but a slow, unacceptable counting process that undermines confidence. Delays are caused by systemic differences in how and when partisan groups vote (e.g., late-arriving mail-in ballots skewing Democratic), creating the appearance of impropriety without evidence of actual rigging.

The persistence of election fraud claims isn't accidental; it follows a classic disinformation strategy. By relentlessly repeating a lie, it transitions from outrageous to normalized and eventually becomes self-evident truth for a large segment of the population, undermining democratic foundations.

An in-person ballot is anonymous by design. Once a fraudulent vote enters the ballot box, it lacks any identifying information linking it to the voter. It becomes indistinguishable from legitimate votes and is mixed in immediately, making it literally impossible to isolate, trace, or remove after the fact.

The push for specific forms of ID, like passports, isn't just about security. It's a calculated strategy to reduce turnout among groups that disproportionately lack them, like married women whose names don't match their birth certificate.

People have committed felonies for trivial gains like winning a homecoming queen election or a fishing tournament. This behavior demonstrates that any system offering a significant advantage, such as a national election with trillions of dollars at stake, will inevitably be exploited if vulnerabilities exist, according to basic game theory.

Rather than reacting after the fact, a coalition of Democratic state Attorneys General has been actively planning and preparing legal challenges based on potential Trump administration actions detailed in documents like Project 2025. They aim to have complaints ready to file immediately, ensuring they are not "caught flat-footed."

Using legal attacks against political opponents ("lawfare") is a societal gangrene. It forces the targeted party to retaliate, turning elections into existential battles for survival rather than policy contests. This high-stakes environment creates a powerful incentive to win at any cost, undermining democratic norms.

The real danger to elections is not necessarily widespread illegal fraud but rather systems that are legal yet fundamentally immoral. Practices like ballot harvesting, while technically permitted in some places, are designed to manipulate outcomes and are more corrosive because they operate under the color of law.

Trump's Mail-In Ballot Attacks Create a Pretext for Post-Election Seizures | RiffOn