Leading BlackRock's insurance business, Buchwald's team analyzed the entire US insurance industry to identify seven potential 'seismic' external impacts. Four of these events occurred, and by proactively developing solutions, BlackRock was positioned to manage the general accounts for these companies, adding over $100 billion in AUM.
The massive 2005-2021 growth in private equity was fueled by North American pension plans increasing their allocations. That market is now mature. The next wave of industry growth will come from entirely different sources: insurance companies, international LPs (especially Middle East/Asia), and the vast wealth and retail market.
Blackstone's model for its insurance business is to act solely as a third-party asset manager, not to own a captive insurance balance sheet. This avoids competing with their clients and allows insurers to access specialized origination and portfolio management expertise that is difficult to replicate in-house.
Apollo's foundational private equity strategy—seeking value, being contrarian, and investing flexibly across the capital structure—was not siloed. This single philosophy of maximizing return per unit of risk now guides every investment decision across their entire platform, including credit and insurance.
With half its AUM being its own captive insurance capital, Apollo's mindset shifts from a third-party manager to an owner-investor. This changes the client conversation from "here's a new product" to "here's what we're investing our own money in, join us." This deep alignment builds significant trust with LPs.
Top-tier VC firms like Andreessen Horowitz are evolving beyond traditional venture investing. They are mirroring the playbook of private equity giants like Blackstone by acquiring other asset managers, expanding into new verticals like wealth management, and preparing to go public, prioritizing AUM growth.
For a multi-trillion dollar manager, agility isn't about small trades but leveraging scale for superior market access and research. The key is acting early to identify risks or opportunities before liquidity dries up, effectively using information advantages to front-run market stress.
BlackRock's Investment Institute, which steers its $10 trillion in assets, is chaired by Tom Donilon, Barack Obama's former National Security Advisor. This creates a powerful nexus between US foreign policy intelligence and global financial markets, influencing investments based on geopolitical strategy.
Deal-making is evolving beyond same-sector acquisitions. A key trend is "intersector" consolidation, where asset managers acquire wealth or insurance firms. This strategic move aims to control a larger portion of the value chain, bringing the asset manager closer to the end client.
Recognizing that investment capabilities alone are insufficient, Temasek proactively established a geopolitical team and a Washington D.C. office in 2017. This was done not in reaction to a crisis but in anticipation of global shifts that could have widespread ramifications on their portfolio.
Apollo entered the insurance market by identifying a post-GFC niche in guaranteed products (annuities), realizing it was essentially a spread-lending business they could master. This opportunistic move, not a preconceived plan, evolved into a half-trillion-dollar cornerstone of their firm.