Firms like OpenAI and Meta claim a compute shortage while also exploring selling compute capacity. This isn't a contradiction but a strategic evolution. They are buying all available supply to secure their own needs and then arbitraging the excess, effectively becoming smaller-scale cloud providers for AI.

Specialized AI cloud providers like CoreWeave face a unique business reality where customer demand is robust and assured for the near future. Their primary business challenge and gating factor is not sales or marketing, but their ability to secure the physical supply of high-demand GPUs and other AI chips to service that demand.

By funding and backstopping CoreWeave, which exclusively uses its GPUs, NVIDIA establishes its hardware as the default for the AI cloud. This gives NVIDIA leverage over major customers like Microsoft and Amazon, who are developing their own chips. It makes switching to proprietary silicon more difficult, creating a competitive moat based on market structure, not just technology.

Instead of bearing the full cost and risk of building new AI data centers, large cloud providers like Microsoft use CoreWeave for 'overflow' compute. This allows them to meet surges in customer demand without committing capital to assets that depreciate quickly and may become competitors' infrastructure in the long run.

NVIDIA promised to buy any of CoreWeave's unused cloud service availability. This unusual arrangement, while helping CoreWeave secure debt financing, makes it difficult for investors to gauge real, organic market demand for its services, potentially hiding early signs of a market slowdown.

While many focus on physical infrastructure like liquid cooling, CoreWeave's true differentiator is its proprietary software stack. This software manages the entire data center, from power to GPUs, using predictive analytics to gracefully handle component failures and maximize performance for customers' critical AI jobs.

Silver Lake cofounder Glenn Hutchins contrasts today's AI build-out with the speculative telecom boom. Unlike fiber optic networks built on hope, today's massive data centers are financed against long-term, pre-sold contracts with creditworthy counterparties like Microsoft. This "built-to-suit" model provides a stable commercial foundation.

CoreWeave, a major AI infrastructure provider, reports its compute workload is shifting from two-thirds training to nearly 50% inference. This indicates the AI industry is moving beyond model creation to real-world application and monetization, a crucial sign of enterprise adoption and market maturity.

NVIDIA is not just a supplier and investor in CoreWeave; it also acts as a financial backstop. By guaranteeing it will purchase any of CoreWeave's excess, unsold GPU compute, NVIDIA de-risks the business for lenders and investors, ensuring bills get paid even if demand from customers like OpenAI falters.