Large private equity firms are long on capital but short on deal origination. Ted Seides suggests a firm like Blackstone could adopt the Millennium hedge fund model: acquiring specialized deal teams and plugging them into a centralized risk and capital platform, effectively becoming a multi-manager PE firm.

Related Insights

Backing independent sponsors on a deal-by-deal basis is more than an investment strategy; it is an extended due diligence process. This approach provides deep, real-time insights into a manager's problem-solving skills under pressure, offering transparency that is impossible to achieve before a Fund I commitment.

The best private equity talent often leaves large firms encumbered by non-competes, forcing them to operate as independent, deal-by-deal sponsors. LPs who engage at this stage gain access to proven investors years before they have a marketable track record.

The private equity market is following the hedge fund industry's maturation curve. Just as hedge funds saw a consolidation around large platforms and niche specialists, a "shakeout" is coming for undifferentiated, mid-market private equity firms that lack a unique edge or sufficient scale.

Top-tier VC firms like Andreessen Horowitz are evolving beyond traditional venture investing. They are mirroring the playbook of private equity giants like Blackstone by acquiring other asset managers, expanding into new verticals like wealth management, and preparing to go public, prioritizing AUM growth.

New private equity managers often define their strategy too broadly. The winning approach is to first dominate a narrow swim lane, like 'buy-and-builds of blue collar services,' to build credibility. They can then earn the right to expand into adjacent markets in later funds.

To source proprietary hybrid capital deals, avoid the capital markets teams at PE firms, as their job is to minimize cost of capital. Instead, build relationships directly with individual deal partners in specific industries. This allows you to become a trusted, go-to provider for complex, time-sensitive situations where speed and certainty are valued over price.

Centerbridge initially sought investors equally skilled in PE and credit, a "switch hitter" model they found unrealistic. They evolved to a "majors and minors" approach, allowing professionals to specialize in one area while gaining significant experience in the other. This fosters deep expertise without sacrificing the firm's integrated strategy.

In a world of commoditized capital, offering a full suite of solutions creates a competitive advantage. By providing fund investments, co-investments, secondary liquidity, and portfolio company debt, a firm becomes an indispensable strategic partner to PE sponsors, generating proprietary and superior deal flow.

The era of generating returns through leverage and multiple expansion is over. Future success in PE will come from driving revenue growth, entering at lower multiples, and adding operational expertise, particularly in the fragmented middle market where these opportunities are more prevalent.

Instead of viewing the flood of private wealth as competition for deals, savvy institutional investors can capitalize on it. Opportunities exist to seed new retail-focused vehicles to gain economics, buy GP stakes in managers entering the wealth channel, or use new evergreen funds as a source of secondary market liquidity.

Blackstone Could Become Private Equity's Millennium-Style Multi-Manager Platform | RiffOn