AI startup Mercore's valuation quintupled to $10B by connecting AI labs with domain experts to train models. This reveals that the most critical bottleneck for advanced AI is not just data or compute, but reinforcement learning from highly skilled human feedback, creating a new "RL economy."

Startups like Cognition Labs find their edge not by competing on pre-training large models, but by mastering post-training. They build specialized reinforcement learning environments that teach models specific, real-world workflows (e.g., using Datadog for debugging), creating a defensible niche that larger players overlook.

Many AI projects fail to reach production because of reliability issues. The vision for continual learning is to deploy agents that are 'good enough,' then use RL to correct behavior based on real-world errors, much like training a human. This solves the final-mile reliability problem and could unlock a vast market.

Beyond supervised fine-tuning (SFT) and human feedback (RLHF), reinforcement learning (RL) in simulated environments is the next evolution. These "playgrounds" teach models to handle messy, multi-step, real-world tasks where current models often fail catastrophically.

Reinforcement Learning with Human Feedback (RLHF) is a popular term, but it's just one method. The core concept is reinforcing desired model behavior using various signals. These can include AI feedback (RLAIF), where another AI judges the output, or verifiable rewards, like checking if a model's answer to a math problem is correct.

Basic supervised fine-tuning (SFT) only adjusts a model's style. The real unlock for enterprises is reinforcement fine-tuning (RFT), which leverages proprietary datasets to create state-of-the-art models for specific, high-value tasks, moving beyond mere 'tone improvements.'

The AI industry is not a winner-take-all market. Instead, it's a dynamic "leapfrogging" race where competitors like OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic constantly surpass each other with new models. This prevents a single monopoly and encourages specialization, with different models excelling in areas like coding or current events.

AI progress was expected to stall in 2024-2025 due to hardware limitations on pre-training scaling laws. However, breakthroughs in post-training techniques like reasoning and test-time compute provided a new vector for improvement, bridging the gap until next-generation chips like NVIDIA's Blackwell arrived.

A key strategy for labs like Anthropic is automating AI research itself. By building models that can perform the tasks of AI researchers, they aim to create a feedback loop that dramatically accelerates the pace of innovation.