Silicon Valley is biased towards open-ended knowledge work like software engineering. However, a larger, often ignored opportunity for AI lies in automating the repeatable, deterministic business processes that power most of the non-tech economy, from customer support to operations.
The biggest opportunity for AI isn't just automating existing human work, but tackling the vast number of valuable tasks that were never done because they were economically inviable. AI and agents thrive on low-cost, high-consistency tasks that were too tedious or expensive for humans, creating entirely new value.
Most companies are not Vanguard tech firms. Rather than pursuing speculative, high-failure-rate AI projects, small and medium-sized businesses will see a faster and more reliable ROI by using existing AI tools to automate tedious, routine internal processes.
The guest argues that a specific AI vertical is underinvested: automating administrative knowledge work that is fundamental to how companies get paid. These tools have high revenue durability as they become core financial infrastructure, yet receive less VC attention than other AI categories.
VCs have traditionally ignored the massive $16T services sector due to its low margins. AI automation can fundamentally change this by eliminating repetitive tasks, allowing these companies to achieve margin profiles similar to software businesses, thus making the sector newly viable for venture investment.
While AI can improve existing software categories, the most significant opportunity lies in creating new applications that automate tasks previously performed by humans. This 'software eating labor' market is substantially larger than the traditional SaaS market, representing a massive greenfield opportunity for startups.
Instead of focusing on foundational models, software engineers should target the creation of AI "agents." These are automated workflows designed to handle specific, repetitive business chores within departments like customer support, sales, or HR. This is where companies see immediate value and are willing to invest.
Don't get distracted by flashy AI demonstrations. The highest immediate ROI from AI comes from automating mundane, repetitive, and essential business functions. Focus on tasks like custom report generation and handling common customer service inquiries, as these deliver consistent, measurable value.
The most powerful automations are not complex agents but simple, predictable workflows that save time reliably. The goal is determinism; AI introduces a "black box" of uncertainty. Therefore, the highest ROI comes from extremely linear processes where "boring is beautiful" and predictability is guaranteed.
Avoid trendy, saturated markets. Instead, focus on stable, 'boring' industries that are slow to innovate and still rely on manual processes. These markets are ripe for disruption, have less competition, and typically offer higher margins for AI solutions.
Traditionally, service businesses lack scalability for VC. But AI startups are adopting a 'manual first, automate later' approach. They deliver high-touch services to gain traction, while simultaneously building AI to automate 90%+ of the work, eventually achieving software-like margins and growth.