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Experts predicted air freight prices would plummet after the U.S. ended the duty-free 'de minimis' rule for China. Instead, prices remained high because a massive, simultaneous boom in shipping components for AI data centers absorbed all the excess capacity.

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The massive capital expenditure by hyperscalers on AI will likely create an oversupply of capacity. This will crash prices, creating a golden opportunity for a new generation of companies to build innovative applications on cheap AI, much like Amazon utilized the cheap bandwidth left after the dot-com bust.

A recent Harvard study reveals the staggering scale of the AI infrastructure build-out, concluding that if data center investments were removed, current U.S. economic growth would effectively be zero. This highlights that the AI boom is not just a sector-specific trend but a primary driver of macroeconomic activity in the United States.

The capital expenditure for AI infrastructure mirrors massive industrial projects like LNG terminals, not typical tech spending. This involves the same industrial suppliers who benefited from previous government initiatives and were later sold off by investors, creating a fresh opportunity as they are now central to the AI buildout.

The insatiable demand for power from new data centers is so great that it's revitalizing America's dormant energy infrastructure. This has led to supply chain booms for turbines, creative solutions like using diesel truck engines for power, and even a doubling of wages for mobile electricians.

The US economy would have likely shown negative growth if not for the recent AI boom. This surge in AI-related productivity and investment masked the detrimental effects of tariffs, such as rising input costs for manufacturers and slowing growth in other sectors like housing.

Unlike the speculative "dark fiber" buildout of the dot-com bubble, today's AI infrastructure race is driven by real, immediate, and overwhelming demand. The problem isn't a lack of utilization for built capacity; it's a constant struggle to build supply fast enough to meet customer needs.

The race to build AI data centers has created a severe labor shortage for specialized engineers. The demand is so high that companies are flying teams of engineers on private jets between construction sites, a practice typically reserved for C-suite executives, highlighting a critical bottleneck in the AI supply chain.

Unlike the speculative overcapacity of the dot-com bubble's 'dark fiber' (unused internet cables), the current AI buildout shows immediate utilization. New AI data centers reportedly run at 100% capacity upon coming online, suggesting that massive infrastructure spending is meeting real, not just anticipated, demand.

The advanced GPUs essential for AI require a fully globalized supply chain. As globalization breaks down, producing these chips may become impossible. Therefore, the current frenzied build-out of AI data centers, while a bubble, strategically installs critical infrastructure before the window of opportunity closes for good.

The massive physical infrastructure required for AI data centers, including their own power plants, is creating a windfall for traditional industrial equipment manufacturers. These companies supply essential components like natural gas turbines, which are currently in short supply, making them key beneficiaries of the AI boom.

AI Data Center Boom Saved Air Freight Market From Collapse | RiffOn