Founders are stuck in a SaaS mindset, selling tools to existing service providers. The bigger opportunity is to build new, AI-first service companies (e.g., accounting, legal) that use AI to deliver a superior end-to-end solution directly to customers.

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Instead of selling software to traditional industries, a more defensible approach is to build vertically integrated companies. This involves acquiring or starting a business in a non-sexy industry (e.g., a law firm, hospital) and rebuilding its entire operational stack with AI at its core, something a pure software vendor cannot do.

Most successful SaaS companies weren't built on new core tech, but by packaging existing tech (like databases or CRMs) into solutions for specific industries. AI is no different. The opportunity lies in unbundling a general tool like ChatGPT and rebundling its capabilities into vertical-specific products.

The current moment is ripe for building new horizontal software giants due to three converging paradigm shifts: a move to outcome-based pricing, AI completing end-to-end tasks as the new unit of value, and a shift from structured schemas to dynamic, unstructured data models.

An AI-native service provider goes directly to the end customer, bypassing intermediaries. They offer a superior result (e.g., faster, cheaper cybersecurity) at a lower price, making the switch an easy decision by solving the entire problem.

Thrive Capital invested in an AI-powered accounting firm, not an accounting AI software tool. Their thesis is that in some industries, the service provider who uses AI to become hyper-efficient will capture more value than software vendors selling tools to a fragmented customer base. This is a bet on the business model, not just the technology.

Businesses previously considered non-venture scale due to service-based models and low margins, like Managed Service Providers (MSPs), are becoming investable. By building with an AI-first core, these companies can achieve the high margins and scalability required for venture returns, blurring the line between service and product.

The fundamental shift from AI isn't about replacing foundational model companies like OpenAI. Instead, AI creates a new technological substrate—productized intelligence—that will engender an entirely new breed of software companies, marking the end of the traditional SaaS playbook.

Don't underestimate the size of AI opportunities. Verticals like "AI for code" or "AI for legal" are not niche markets that will be dominated by a few players. They are entire new industries that will support dozens of large, successful companies, much like the broader software industry.

YC Partner Harsh Taggar notes a strategic shift where new AI companies are not just selling software to incumbents (e.g., an AI tool for insurance). Instead, they are building "AI-native full stack" businesses that operate as the incumbent themselves (e.g., an AI-powered insurance brokerage).

Traditionally, service businesses lack scalability for VC. But AI startups are adopting a 'manual first, automate later' approach. They deliver high-touch services to gain traction, while simultaneously building AI to automate 90%+ of the work, eventually achieving software-like margins and growth.