Europe's investment opportunity in AI lies not in creating foundational technology, but in its adoption. European companies leading in AI adoption are showing significant earnings outperformance and trade at a 27% discount to US equivalents, representing a distinct and undervalued growth angle.

The real investment case for AI in Europe is not in creating foundational models but in adoption. The continent's vast 'old economy' index has significant potential for productivity gains. As AI's return on investment becomes clear, Europe could be re-rated as a major beneficiary of AI adoption, capitalizing on its large industrial base.

Contrary to its low-tech reputation, Europe's market performance is overwhelmingly powered by sectors linked to the AI CapEx boom. A cohort including semis, tech hardware, and capital goods makes up just 15% of the index's weight but has generated nearly 90% of its year-to-date returns.

Contrary to the dominant narrative of US market leadership, European equities have actually outperformed their US counterparts when measured in constant currency terms since the last US presidential election. This surprising trend is a fact that most investors may not realize.

While US equities have traditionally been a bellwether for global sentiment, a significant rotation is underway. Stagnant US tech stocks are being overshadowed by strong performance elsewhere, with European equities up 6% and Emerging Market equities up 13%. This suggests capital is flowing into other markets, reducing EM's dependence on US performance.

The increased volatility and shorter defensibility windows in the AI era challenge traditional VC portfolio construction. The logical response to this heightened risk is greater diversification. This implies that early-stage funds may need to be larger to support more investments or write smaller checks into more companies.

Europe's primary AI bull case is not in creating foundational AI but in its large base of "AI adopters." These firms, a quarter of the index, show strong earnings outperformance and trade at a significant 27% discount to US equivalents, presenting a unique investment angle.

International buyers want exposure to high-performing US companies like NVIDIA but are simultaneously hedging against a declining US dollar. They are separating the appeal of American corporate exceptionalism from growing concerns about US sovereign risk and currency depreciation.

Contrary to popular belief, when measured in constant currency, European equities have outperformed their US counterparts since the last US elections. This trend is not widely recognized by investors, setting the stage for a potential re-evaluation of the region.