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Instead of a binary risk/reward model, view compelling investments through the lens of 'approach avoidance.' Every good opportunity contains elements that are both attractive (approach) and fearful (avoid). Acknowledging this inherent tension by using 'and' instead of 'but' leads to a more nuanced and effective decision-making process.

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The traditional 'risks and attractions' list creates a false opposition. A better framework is asking, 'What do you have to believe to be true to be attracted to this?' This reframes the diligence process constructively, acknowledging that the goal of an investor is to find reasons to put money to work, not just to identify risks.

Many problems have a single "correct" answer (convergent). Investing is different; it's a "divergent" problem where key questions require balancing opposing virtues: concentration vs. diversification, patience vs. urgency. Success lies not in finding a single rule, but in intuitively harmonizing these tensions.

Most investors cannot excel at both aggressive offense (seeking more winners) and disciplined defense (avoiding losers). These require different mindsets. To build a coherent strategy, one must make a conscious choice about which path to prioritize, as very few possess the skills to master both simultaneously.

Most people make poor decisions because they are trapped by emotions and view the world in simple binaries. A better approach is to map a situation's full complexity, understand its trade-offs, and recognize where others are getting stuck in their feelings, thus avoiding those same traps.

Post-mortems of bad investments reveal the cause is never a calculation error but always a psychological bias or emotional trap. Sequoia catalogs ~40 of these, including failing to separate the emotional 'thrill of the chase' from the clinical, objective assessment required for sound decision-making.

When facing a tough choice, people often frame it as "do X or not." A better framework is to define the specific, concrete alternative (e.g., "send kid to daycare or hire a nanny" vs. "or quit my job"). This clarifies the true trade-offs involved.

A 'thesis' is a belief to be defended, leading to confirmation bias. A 'hypothesis' is a quantitatively falsifiable statement that invites challenge. This simple linguistic shift fosters a culture of actively seeking disconfirming evidence, leading to more rational investment decisions.

Mala Gaonkar combats investment fads by replacing the "Fear of Missing Out" (FOMO) with "Thoughtfully Missing Out" (TOMO). This framework encourages her team to consciously and deliberately pass on hyped opportunities that fall outside their defined circle of competence, avoiding costly mistakes.

Framing investing as a form of gambling—even low-volatility, long-term strategies—forces an honest acknowledgment of inherent risk. This mindset prevents the dangerous and false assumption that investing is a guaranteed, "only up" phenomenon, leading to better decision-making.

To fight overconfidence before a big decision, conduct a "premortem." Imagine the investment has already failed spectacularly and work backward to list all the plausible reasons for its failure. This exercise forces engagement of your analytical "System 2" brain, revealing risks your optimistic side would ignore.

Frame Investments as 'Approach/Avoidance' Tensions, Not Risk/Reward Binaries | RiffOn