Private small and medium-sized businesses, legalized in 2021, have become vital for Cubans' survival, paying up to 10 times state salaries. However, the Communist Party remains ambivalent, creating a climate of legal uncertainty for entrepreneurs who are essential to the economy.
Karl Marx's Communist Manifesto demands a state monopoly on money and credit. Since all modern economies use central banks to control the money supply, they are built on a Marxist principle. With money being half of every transaction, these economies are at best 50% capitalist and 50% Marxist.
Once a destination for American economic opportunity, Venezuela's economy imploded after nationalizing its top industry and imposing widespread price controls. This recent, dramatic collapse serves as a powerful, real-world example of how such policies can lead to ruin, yet they remain popular.
The rise of a precarious gig workforce of over 200 million people directly contradicts the Communist Party's founding promise of a "dictatorship of the proletariat." This growing underclass, living with minimal security and rights, represents a societal shift towards a capitalist-style structure that the party was originally formed to overthrow, creating a deep ideological crisis.
The number of startups founded in China dropped from 51,000 in 2018 to just 1,200 in 2023, a 98% decrease. Roelof Botha attributes this collapse to unpredictable government regulations that stifle entrepreneurial risk-taking, serving as a warning for how policy could impact innovation elsewhere.
When facing government pressure for deals that border on state capitalism, a single CEO gains little by taking a principled stand. Resisting alone will likely lead to their company being punished while competitors comply. The pragmatic move is to play along to ensure long-term survival, despite potential negative effects for the broader economy.
ADP data reveals a divergence in the labor market: firms with 1-49 employees saw a -0.3% year-over-year decline in jobs. In contrast, large firms experienced 3.7% growth. This indicates that economic pressures and uncertainty are disproportionately impacting small businesses, forcing them to lay off staff.
Deng Xiaoping’s reforms, which ignited China’s growth, were based on adopting American free-market principles like private enterprise and foreign capital. China’s success stemmed from decentralizing its economy, the very system the U.S. is now tempted to abandon for a more centralized model.
Beyond its widely reported economic woes, Cuba is experiencing a severe demographic crisis. A leading demographer estimates that nearly a quarter of the entire population has emigrated in just the last five to six years, representing a profound brain drain and a challenge to the nation's future stability.
The system often blamed as capitalism is distorted. True capitalism requires the risk of failure as a clearing mechanism. Today's system is closer to cronyism, where government interventions like bailouts and regulatory capture protect established players from failure.
Despite what is described as "stupid" and "sclerotic" economic policies like tariffs and trade wars, the U.S. economy continues to grow. This resilience is not due to government strategy but to the relentless daily innovation of American businesses, which succeed in spite of, not because of, macro-level decisions.