Kaplan-Meier curves from the VICTORIA-1 trial show a steep, immediate drop-off for patients on fulvestrant monotherapy, with ~60% progressing quickly. In contrast, the giredestrant combination arms show a much flatter initial curve, visually demonstrating that a primary benefit is protecting the large subset of patients who would otherwise fail therapy very early.
Data from DESTINY-Breast09 shows TDXD plus pertuzumab dramatically improved progression-free survival in first-line metastatic HER2+ breast cancer. This unprecedented efficacy raises new questions about optimal treatment duration and the potential for de-escalated maintenance therapy after induction.
With pirtobrutinib, time to next treatment often exceeds progression-free survival. This discrepancy exists because disease progression is frequently slow and asymptomatic, meaning clinicians do not need to switch therapies immediately upon seeing radiographic changes, allowing for longer treatment duration.
In trials like ASCENT-4, where over 80% of the control arm received sacituzumab govitecan upon progression, the true overall survival (OS) benefit is obscured. This makes progression-free survival (PFS) a more reliable endpoint for evaluating the drug's first-line efficacy.
In renal cell carcinoma, Arcus's casdadafin demonstrated a 12.2-month median PFS as a monotherapy. This nearly matches the 13.7-month PFS of Merck's competitor drug, belzutafan, when used in combination. This suggests Arcus's upcoming combination data could be substantially superior.
Actuate employed a master protocol that tested their drug alongside eight different standard-of-care chemotherapies in patients who had already failed them. This design efficiently demonstrated the drug's ability to reverse chemo-resistance across multiple histologies, informing their Phase 2 strategy.
In metastatic breast cancer, approximately one-third of patients are unable to proceed to a second line of therapy due to disease progression or declining performance status. This high attrition rate argues for using the most effective agents, such as ADCs, in the first-line setting.
The PR21 trial showed better overall survival for docetaxel followed by Lutetium, despite similar progression-free survival. The likely reason is not drug superiority but patient behavior: a higher percentage of patients complete the second therapy when starting with chemo, highlighting how treatment fatigue significantly impacts survival.
Despite strong single-agent trial results, experts believe the field is shifting away from continuous monotherapy. The most significant future impact for pirtobrutinib will likely be as a backbone of fixed-duration combination therapies with drugs like venetoclax, aiming for deeper remissions without indefinite treatment.
A sobering finding from the LAURA trial was its control arm. EGFR-mutant patients receiving standard "curative-intent" chemoradiation alone had extremely high and rapid relapse rates (PFS ~6 months), highlighting the inadequacy of this standard and underscoring the necessity of adding consolidation osimertinib.
Recent non-inferiority trials affirm that fixed-duration combination therapies are viable alternatives to continuous BTK inhibitors. However, clinicians must look beyond the headline conclusion, as numerical data can show slightly worse progression-free survival for high-risk subgroups within the acceptable non-inferiority margin, complicating treatment decisions.