A restaurateur reveals the dramatic, unseen impact of inflation. While he raised the price of his fries from $9 to $12 since 2019, maintaining the original profit margin would require charging $25 today. This illustrates how businesses are absorbing massive cost increases, squeezing their profitability.

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Founders often feel guilty about raising prices. Reframe this: sustainable profit margins are what allow your business to survive and continue serving customers. Without profitability, the business fails and everyone loses. It's a matter of ensuring longevity, not greed.

By selling premium slices for $5-$6, restaurants generate more revenue per pizza than if sold whole. Simultaneously, consumers perceive a two-slice meal as a high-value $10-$12 lunch in an inflationary economy. This product strategy creates a rare win-win for both the business and the customer.

Instead of immediately passing tariff costs to consumers, US corporations are initially absorbing the shock. They are mitigating the impact by reducing labor costs and accepting lower profitability, which explains the lag between tariff implementation and broad consumer inflation.

Chef David Chang identifies that Gen Z's reduced alcohol consumption is a major financial threat to the restaurant industry. Traditionally high-margin beverage sales have subsidized food costs, but this model is breaking down. As a result, restaurants face a dual pressure of rising labor costs and shrinking beverage revenue, forcing a difficult choice between raising food prices or facing insolvency.

Unlike most retailers who apply a consistent markup percentage, Trader Joe's prioritizes the absolute dollar profit per item. They will gladly accept a lower margin percentage on a higher-priced item if it generates more cash profit per unit of scarce shelf space, optimizing for their key constraint.

The CPI averages costs across 80,000 items, many of which are non-essentials or luxury goods. This method masks the true, higher inflation rate on basic necessities. For example, while the CPI showed a 72% cost increase over two decades, the actual cost of essentials like housing, food, and healthcare rose by a much larger 97%.

High margins create stability but also invite competition. The ideal strategy is to operate with margins low enough to build customer loyalty and a competitive moat, while retaining the *ability* to raise prices when necessary. This balances long-term growth with short-term financial resilience.

Pricing is your most powerful lever. For a typical service business with a 10% net margin, a simple 10% price increase goes directly to the bottom line, effectively doubling the company's total profit without any additional operational cost or effort.

Official inflation metrics may be low, but public perception remains negative because wages haven't kept pace with the *cumulative* price increases since the pandemic. Consumers feel a "permanent price increase" on essential goods like groceries, making them feel poorer even if the rate of new inflation has slowed.

The longevity of above-target inflation is a primary concern for the Fed because it can fundamentally alter consumer and business behavior. Historical models based on low-inflation periods become less reliable. Businesses report being surprised that consumers are still accepting price increases, suggesting pricing power and inflation expectations may be stickier than anticipated.

Hidden Margin Compression: French Fries That Cost $12 Should Cost $25 | RiffOn