AI is more than a tool for modernizing government services. It's a disruptive force that changes society's needs, compelling government to ask if its existing programs are even the right ones. For instance, is unemployment insurance the correct response to permanent, AI-driven job displacement?
With over half of new startup pitches focusing on AI automating existing jobs, the primary solution to this massive displacement is not retraining, but fostering an ecosystem that aggressively creates new companies, new industries, and consequently, new roles.
AI will inevitably cause mass, short-term job displacement. To prevent a depression from collapsed consumer spending, Universal Basic Income (UBI) is essential. It acts as a bridge, sustaining demand and allowing society to benefit from AI's productivity gains while new industries emerge.
The narrative blaming AI for job insecurity is misdirected. The true cause is decades of government promising services it can't efficiently deliver, leading to inflation and distorted markets. AI is a convenient, visible target for problems with deeper roots in policy.
For current AI valuations to be realized, AI must deliver unprecedented efficiency, likely causing mass job displacement. This would disrupt the consumer economy that supports these companies, creating a fundamental contradiction where the condition for success undermines the system itself.
Recent events, including the Fed's interest rate cuts citing unemployment uncertainty and AI-driven corporate restructuring, show AI's economic impact is no longer theoretical. Top economists are now demanding the U.S. Labor Department track AI's effect on jobs in real-time.
When introducing AI automation in government, directly address job security fears. Frame AI not as a replacement, but as a partner that reduces overwhelming workloads and enables better service. Emphasize that adopting these new tools requires reskilling, shifting the focus to workforce evolution, not elimination.
Political demands that new technology must benefit the specific workers it replaces are fundamentally flawed. This logic ignores progress. The goal shouldn't be to preserve obsolete jobs but to ensure technology benefits civilization as a whole by creating abundance while managing the difficult labor transition.
The government's core model for funding, oversight, and talent management is a relic of the post-WWII industrial era. Slapping modern technology like AI onto this outdated 'operating system' is a recipe for failure. A fundamental backend overhaul is required, not just a frontend facelift.
While Universal Basic Income (UBI) might solve the economic fallout from AI-induced job loss, Ariel Poler is more concerned with the resulting existential crisis. For most people, jobs provide identity, structure, and meaning. The challenge isn't just funding people's lives, but finding productive ways for them to spend their free time.
Unlike the private sector, government often focuses on offering employment rather than driving innovation. This inefficiency creates a buffer against AI-driven job cuts, making public sector roles paradoxically resilient, despite being a catastrophic waste of taxpayer money.