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It's emotionally difficult to sell losers during a down year. Cassel uses a mental hack to force objectivity: he asks himself how he would act if he were having a great year. The answer is almost always to cut the loser immediately. This reframe helps overcome the biases that lead to holding on too long.

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Combat indecision and emotional attachment by pre-committing to sell an investment if it fails to meet a specific metric (the state) by a specific deadline (the date). This creates a pre-commitment contract that closes long feedback loops and prevents complacency with underperforming assets.

When selling a losing position during a drawdown, it's crucial to determine if the decision is driven by the emotional inability to endure more pain (pain management) or a rational assessment of future risk (risk management). Confusing the two leads to poor outcomes.

A core discipline from top hedge funds is to re-evaluate every holding daily, regardless of past performance. This forces an objective assessment of whether you would buy the position today, removing emotional attachment and the sunk-cost fallacy from decision-making.

A cognitive bias called the "disposition effect" makes it psychologically painful to realize a loss, but feels good to lock in a profit. This leads investors to irrationally hold onto declining assets hoping for a rebound while selling rising ones too early, regardless of their future potential.

To avoid emotional, performance-chasing mistakes, write down your selling criteria in advance and intentionally exclude recent performance from the list. This forces a focus on more rational reasons, such as a broken investment thesis, manager changes, excessive fees, or shifting personal goals, thereby preventing reactionary decisions based on market noise.

The speaker proposes a three-year rule: if a stock investment hasn't appreciated in three years, it's time to question your own analysis rather than blaming the market. This mental model forces a re-underwriting of the investment thesis and prevents holding onto losing positions indefinitely.

Instead of making emotional decisions, establish "kill criteria" for each investment: a specific KPI (a state) that must be met by a certain time (a date). If the company fails to meet the predefined metric, you sell. This provides a disciplined, objective framework for portfolio management.

To decide whether to sell a long-held asset you're attached to, imagine it was sold overnight and the cash is in your account. The question then becomes: "Would you use that cash to buy it back today?" This reframe bypasses status quo bias and the endowment effect, making the correct decision immediately obvious.

To combat the emotional burden of binary sell-or-hold decisions, use the "Go Havsies" method. Instead of selling a full position, sell half. This simple algorithm diversifies potential outcomes—you benefit if it rises and are protected if it falls—which significantly reduces the psychological pain of regret from making the "wrong" choice.

A small losing position can occupy a large portion of your mental bandwidth. Selling a stock that is 1% of your portfolio but 10% of your mental energy is often a smart decision, freeing you to focus on better opportunities.

To Cut Losing Stocks, Ask: "What Would I Do If My Portfolio Was Up 30% This Year?" | RiffOn