The classic "proprietary technology" moat is being redefined in the age of AI. A large, complex codebase is no longer a defensible asset because AI can replicate it. The moat now primarily applies to technology protected by regulation and scarcity, like a pharmaceutical patent, which cannot be easily cloned by AI.
Wilkinson argues that the traditional moat for software—the high cost and difficulty of hiring programmers—has vanished. He compares it to a machine that makes perfect pizza cheaply: consumer quality rises, but business margins plummet. Lasting value must now come from other sources like brand or distribution.
As AI and better tools commoditize software creation, traditional technology moats are shrinking. The new defensible advantages are forms of liquidity: aggregated data, marketplace activity, or social interactions. These network effects are harder for competitors to replicate than code or features.
Since LLMs are commodities, sustainable competitive advantage in AI comes from leveraging proprietary data and unique business processes that competitors cannot replicate. Companies must focus on building AI that understands their specific "secret sauce."
The long-held belief that a complex codebase provides a durable competitive advantage is becoming obsolete due to AI. As software becomes easier to replicate, defensibility shifts away from the technology itself and back toward classic business moats like network effects, brand reputation, and deep industry integration.
The term "unsloppable" describes companies whose competitive advantage isn't their codebase, which AI can replicate. Instead, their strength comes from durable moats like hardware, strong network effects (Uber), exclusive IP (Disney), or physical infrastructure, which are difficult for AI-powered startups to clone.
As AI makes software development nearly free, traditional engineering moats are disappearing. Businesses must now rely on durable advantages like network effects, economies of scale, brand trust, and defensible IP to survive, becoming "unsloppable."
As AI models become commoditized, the ultimate defensibility comes from exclusive access to a unique dataset. A startup with a slightly inferior model but a comprehensive, proprietary dataset (e.g., all legal records) will beat a superior, general-purpose model for specialized tasks, creating a powerful long-term advantage.
AI doesn't kill all software; it bifurcates the market. Companies with strong moats like distribution, proprietary data, and enterprise lock-in will thrive by integrating AI. However, companies whose only advantage was their software code will be wiped out as AI makes the code itself a commodity. The moat is no longer the software.
With AI commoditizing code creation, the sustainable value for software companies shifts. Customers pay for reliability, support, compliance, and security patches—the 'never ending maintenance commitment'—which becomes the key differentiator when anyone can build an initial app quickly.
Advanced AI tools have made writing software trivially easy, erasing the traditional moat of technical execution. The new differentiators for businesses are non-technical assets like brand trust, distribution networks, and community, as the software itself has become instantly replicable.