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  2. FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat
FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

TBPN · Mar 10, 2026

Alex Epstein breaks down the geopolitical threat to the Strait of Hormuz, which controls 20% of global oil, and outlines strategic responses.

The US Politicized and Degraded its Strategic Petroleum Reserve

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) was not refilled when prices were low, a clear strategic error. It was then misused not for a true national emergency, but to lower gasoline prices before midterm elections. This cynical move depleted reserves and physically degraded the facility's capabilities.

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat thumbnail

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

TBPN·5 days ago

No Combination of Reserves or Spare Capacity Can Replace the Strait of Hormuz

While options like releasing strategic reserves and tapping Saudi spare capacity exist, they are temporary stopgaps. These measures fall short of replacing the 20 million barrels per day—over 20% of global production—that flow through the Strait of Hormuz, making its security the paramount issue.

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat thumbnail

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

TBPN·5 days ago

Cheap, Mobile Drones Pose a Greater Threat to Oil Tankers Than Missiles

The primary threat to securing oil tankers is no longer just mines or fixed missile sites. It is the asymmetric threat of cheap, long-range drones that can be launched from the back of a truck, making them incredibly difficult and costly to defend against with traditional military systems.

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat thumbnail

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

TBPN·5 days ago

The US Is Overlooking Canada as a Stable, Resource-Rich Energy Partner

While the US considers unstable nations like Venezuela for oil, it neglects Canada—a friendly neighbor with vast, untapped oil sands and other resources. A US-Canada energy task force could quickly boost supply via rail, offering a more reliable solution than politically fraught alternatives.

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat thumbnail

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

TBPN·5 days ago

Repealing the 1920s Jones Act Can Immediately Lower US Fuel Transport Costs

The Jones Act, a protectionist law, mandates that only US-built and crewed ships can transport goods between US ports. This creates bizarre inefficiencies and high costs. Suspending it would immediately improve maritime transport efficiency and lower prices, especially for states like California.

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat thumbnail

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

TBPN·5 days ago

Securing the Strait of Hormuz Requires a US-Led Convoy with Allies like Japan and China

The US cannot secure the Strait of Hormuz alone. The solution is a US-led military convoy that includes allies like Japan and South Korea, and even unconventional partners like China, who are heavily dependent on the oil route. This international presence creates a stronger deterrent and shares the burden.

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat thumbnail

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

TBPN·5 days ago

Banning US Oil Exports Would Backfire as US Refineries Require Heavy Foreign Crude

A US oil export ban seems logical during a crisis, but it's counterproductive. American refineries are primarily configured for heavier crude oil, while the US shale revolution produces lighter crude that must be exported. Not all oil is fungible, making global trade essential for domestic refining.

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat thumbnail

FULL INTERVIEW: Alex Epstein on The Oil Market’s Biggest Geopolitical Threat

TBPN·5 days ago