The platform where you encounter an idea indicates its stage in the trend lifecycle. Ideas originating on niche, pseudonymous platforms like Reddit are early. Once they hit mainstream, professionally-oriented platforms like LinkedIn or Facebook, the opportunity is gone.
The "midwit" trap is thinking you're the genius and overcomplicating things. A better approach is to actively simplify your solution to a level an "idiot" could understand (e.g., "calories in, calories out"). This often leads to the same simple, effective answer the "genius" would arrive at.
High-agency individuals resist social conformity. Their opinions don't fit neatly into ideological boxes. They often have unusual teenage hobbies (like juggling) that offered no social status, demonstrating an early internal locus of control and a disregard for external validation.
A huge goal like "build a website" is a "Level 37" task that creates a constant state of failure until completion. Instead, break it down into incremental levels, like "write down ideas." This creates momentum and a feeling of success at each stage, combating procrastination.
Social media allows anyone to be a "reality TV star," but creating high-production fiction requires immense capital. As AI tools democratize filmmaking, countless talented storytellers who prefer working behind the scenes—the Christopher Nolans of the world—can finally produce their visions.
We optimize for visible metrics like money but ignore hidden ones like stress or time with loved ones. These metrics are unmeasurable until they're gone—a mental breakdown occurs or time with parents runs out. Then, they become the most important metric of all.
Imagine you're 90, in a terrible care home, having become the worst version of yourself. Then, the best version appears, showing the life you could have had. This intense regret can generate the emotional energy needed to make significant life changes in the present.
The most nihilistic people can play video games for 16 hours straight. This isn't because they're lazy, but because reality often lacks the clear goals, feedback loops, and escalating challenges that make games compelling. Gamify your tasks to increase motivation.
Actively resisting the algorithm's pull towards popular content is a "bicep curl" for agency. By deliberately clicking on videos with very few views, you train your mind to seek out novelty and think independently, breaking free from societal pulls and discovering trends early.
Predicting the future is hard. Instead, focus on foundational truths that will remain constant. Bezos knew customers would always want lower prices and faster delivery. Building a business around these unchanging principles is a more robust strategy than chasing fleeting trends.
The optimism vs. pessimism debate is flawed; agency is the critical variable. Elon Musk, who believed Tesla and SpaceX had only a 10% chance of success (a pessimistic view), is a prime example. His extreme agency allowed him to succeed despite his low optimism.
The person you'd call to break you out of prison (assuming they have no wealth or contacts) embodies high agency. This quality isn't just IQ or work ethic, but a rare combination of extreme resourcefulness, absurd self-belief, and a high locus of control.
We vastly underestimate the volume of our own forgotten thoughts because, by definition, we can't recall what's been forgotten. This cognitive bug, the "forgetting paradox," means we should prioritize documenting ideas and not take any single thought too seriously, as most are ephemeral.
Relying too heavily on metrics from devices like sleep trackers can be counterproductive. Waking up feeling great, only to see a "bad sleep score," can negatively influence your physical and mental state for the day, demonstrating a powerful nocebo effect where data trumps reality.