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  1. Yet Another Value Podcast
  2. $ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast · Aug 20, 2026

$ELAL is a wartime monopoly trading at 2x EBITDA. Is it an asymmetric opportunity or a value trap? Plus, an update on Stride ($LRN).

El Al's Sabbath Flight Ban Creates a Competitive Moat by Deterring 24/7 Global Airline Rivals

El Al doesn't fly on the Sabbath (~15% of the year), reducing asset utilization. However, this unique operating constraint makes the Israeli market less attractive for global airlines optimized for continuous operation, thus protecting El Al's market share and creating a unique moat.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago

El Al Used Wartime Monopoly Profits to De-Risk Its Balance Sheet by Purchasing Aircraft Off-Lease

El Al leveraged windfall profits from its temporary monopoly to buy nine aircraft it previously leased. This shift from leasing to ownership provides a permanent, long-term financial benefit, reducing costs and strengthening the balance sheet well beyond the current conflict.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago

Israel's Government Acts as El Al's Insurer of Last Resort During Geopolitical Crises

When commercial insurers step back during intense conflict, the Israeli government provides an implicit backstop by insuring El Al's fleet. This unique public-private partnership allows the airline to maintain operations when private insurance markets deem the geopolitical risk too high to underwrite.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago

Stride's Abrupt CEO Change May Be a Positive Catalyst, Not a Sign of Weakness

The market reacted negatively to Stride's CEO departure, but insiders viewed him as a "CFO running a relationship business." The change could be a positive strategic shift driven by operational missteps like a botched software rollout, rather than a decline in the core business.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago

Stride's New 71-Year-Old CEO Has a Contract That Signals a Potential M&A Exit

The employment agreement for Stride's new, 71-year-old CEO is heavily focused on scenarios involving a change of control. This contractual language suggests he may have been brought in as a transitional leader specifically to prepare the ed-tech company for a sale.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago

Regulatory Complexity Creates a Moat for Stride Against AI-Powered Education Disruptors

AI startups are unlikely to disrupt Stride because K-12 education is not a pure tech problem. The business involves navigating a complex web of stakeholders, state-specific curriculums, and legal requirements for serving students with disabilities, creating a significant regulatory and operational barrier to entry.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago

Turkish Airways' Permanent Exit from Israel Fundamentally Reshapes El Al's Long-Term Market

The complete withdrawal of key competitors like Turkish Airways and Pegasus from the Tel Aviv market is a permanent structural change, not a temporary wartime disruption. This exit solidifies El Al's market share and pricing power for the foreseeable future, even after the current conflict subsides.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago

El Al’s State-Mandated Security Is a Costly but Hard-to-Replicate Service Differentiator

The Israeli government mandates an exceptionally high level of security for El Al, including passenger interrogations. While expensive (with costs shared by the government), this creates a powerful brand differentiator built on safety that other airlines cannot easily replicate, reinforcing customer trust.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago

A Botched Software Launch Explains Stride's Recent Underperformance and CEO Change

Stride's poor performance and missed guidance last year were largely caused by a disastrous implementation of a new Learning Management System (LMS). This operational failure provides a credible, non-thesis-breaking explanation for the subsequent CEO departure, suggesting the core business remains healthy.

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners thumbnail

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast·19 hours ago