Replace speculative feedback from discovery calls with a process that would be "weird if it didn't work." First, get strangers to pre-pay for a solution. Then, deliver it manually. This confirms real demand (payment) and validates the solution's value (retention) before writing code.
To make a hire "weird if they didn't work," don't hire for potential or vibe. Instead, find candidates who have already succeeded in a nearly identical role—selling a similar product to a similar audience at a similar company stage. This drastically reduces performance variables.
Undiversified founders can't afford a VC's portfolio mindset. Instead of pursuing ideas that *could* work, they must adopt strategies that would be *weird if they didn't work*. This shifts focus from optimizing for a chance of success to minimizing the chance of absolute failure.
While testing multiple customer profiles seems like de-risking, it's a "could work" strategy that dilutes focus and makes learning impossible. The better approach is to test segments sequentially, running a dedicated sprint for one "who would be weird not to buy" persona at a time.
Product-market fit can be accidental. Even companies with millions in ARR may not initially understand *why* customers buy. They must retroactively apply frameworks to uncover the true demand drivers, which is critical for future growth, replication in new segments, and avoiding wrong turns.
Applying the "weird if it didn't work" framework to fundraising means shifting the narrative. Your goal is to construct a story where the market opportunity is so massive and your team's approach is so compelling that an investor's decision *not* to participate would feel like an obvious miss.
If you don't have an industry or idea, don't start with product brainstorming. Start by identifying groups of people you'd genuinely enjoy serving. The foundation of a sustainable business is a founder's deep connection to their customer, which provides motivation to solve their problems.