New platforms frame betting on future events as sophisticated 'trading,' akin to stock markets. This rebranding as 'prediction markets' helps them bypass traditional gambling regulations and attract users who might otherwise shun betting, positioning it as an intellectual or financial activity rather than a game of chance.

The potential for an AI-driven, post-capitalist world of abundance is real. However, the path there will likely be as destructive as a world war, as the rapid upending of the economic order will throw society into chaos before stability is achieved.

Speculation is often maligned as mere gambling, but it is a critical component for price discovery, liquidity, and risk transfer in any healthy financial market. Without speculators, markets would be inefficient. Prediction markets are an explicit tool to harness this power for accurate forecasting.

While AI may eventually create a world of abundance where energy and labor are free, the transition will be violent. The unprecedented scale of job displacement, coupled with a societal loss of meaning, will likely lead to significant bloodshed and social upheaval before any utopian endpoint is reached.

Coinbase is funding a UBI experiment giving New Yorkers crypto. This is a strategic play, not just charity. It aims to prove crypto's efficiency as a distribution mechanism for government welfare, positioning it to become the foundational infrastructure for future social programs and driving mass adoption.

Rather than causing mass unemployment, AI's productivity gains will lead to shorter work weeks and more leisure time. This shift creates new economic opportunities and jobs in sectors that cater to this expanded free time, like live events and hospitality, thus rebalancing the labor market.

The modern 'status revolution' overturns the old paradigm that status is a finite commodity where one's gain is another's loss. In this new world, one person or group gaining status does not require another to lose it, allowing for a more equitable and peaceful societal reorganization.

The next generation of social networks will be fundamentally different, built around the creation of functional software and AI models, not just media. The status game will shift from who has the best content to who can build the most useful or interesting tools for the community.

While AI may make energy and labor nearly free, it cannot eliminate all scarcity. Finite resources like physical space (e.g., Malibu real estate) and time will always exist. This ensures that economic principles and competition will remain relevant in any future.