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Marketing's true function is probabilistic—it increases the chances of being in the consideration set when a buyer is ready. The common mistake is to measure it deterministically (e.g., this ad led to this sale), creating unrealistic expectations and flawed strategies.

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Like venture capital or Hollywood, marketing's value comes from rare, breakout successes that far outweigh all other efforts. The marketer's job is to create opportunities for these unpredictable "10x" moments, rather than focusing solely on incremental, linear gains.

True marketing builds a brand, which isn't always immediately quantifiable. An addiction to 'math' (CAC, ROAS) at the expense of 'art' (brand, creative) reveals a sales-focused mindset. This approach relies on conversion tactics because the brand isn't strong enough on its own.

Many marketers mistakenly use attribution models for precise instructions. Instead, they should be used directionally to understand which channels are generally performing better, without treating the data as absolute truth that dictates every specific action.

Calculating marketing ROI is misleading in B2B because sales is required to work every deal to close. A more holistic financial view is needed, accounting for sales costs, brand spend, and contribution margin, rather than relying on flawed direct attribution models.

A modern data model revealed marketing influenced over 90% of closed-won revenue, a fact completely obscured by a last-touch attribution system that overwhelmingly credited sales AEs. This shows the 'credit battle' is often a symptom of broken measurement, not just misaligned teams.

A common attribution error is assigning all sales to paid marketing activities. In reality, most brands have a strong "baseline"—sales that would occur even without marketing. Accurate measurement requires modeling this baseline first, then attributing only the incremental lift from campaigns.

Marketing leaders often sense that attribution models are broken, but they lack the financial language and models to prove it to leadership. The key challenge is moving from "feeling" that a model is wrong to "articulating and demonstrating" why with a cogent financial argument.

Marketers often equate effectiveness with ad ROI, but communications typically drive only 10% of sales. The other 90% is influenced by levers like pricing, distribution, and product performance. True marketing effectiveness requires a holistic view across all these business areas, not just advertising.

Solely judging marketing by last-touch attribution creates a false reality. This narrow metric consistently favors predictable channels like search and email, discouraging investment in brand building and creative storytelling that influence buyers throughout their journey. It's a losing battle if it's the only basis for decision-making.

Marketing attribution models should not be used for precise, tactical decisions. Instead, view them as a compass that provides directional guidance on which channels are generally performing better, helping you make broader strategic choices rather than following it as an exact roadmap.