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The affordability crisis has pushed small businesses past trimming benefits to completely giving up on offering health insurance. Many conclude it's too expensive and complicated, marking a significant breakdown of the long-standing employer-based coverage model that began after World War II.

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Rising premiums and deductibles are pushing people away from traditional insurance. This isn't an abandonment of healthcare, but a market response to a product that no longer provides adequate value, forcing a shift towards cash-pay and alternative models.

The convoluted nature of the health insurance system is not an accident; it is a strategic asset for incumbents. The resulting confusion causes exasperation among employers and consumers, preventing them from effectively questioning costs or believing they can enact change, thereby protecting the industry's profitable, high-cost model.

Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk's DTC programs for weight loss drugs give employers an alternative to point employees towards, providing cover to drop expensive insurance coverage and potentially reducing access for patients who rely on it.

By waiting until Q3 to shop for the next year's health plan, employers inadvertently box themselves in. This compressed timeline leaves no room to explore and implement fundamentally different, cost-saving models. Breaking the cycle requires starting the procurement process months earlier than is conventional.

The core driver of high insurance costs is the unregulated and widely variable prices charged for identical products and services. Different insurers pay vastly different amounts for the same thing, a market failure hidden from consumers by fixed co-pays, which ultimately leads to ever-increasing premiums for employers.

The expiration of enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies threatens 24 million members with "sticker shock" from average premium increases of 25-30%. This looming financial crisis for individuals is a key pressure point in the government shutdown negotiations, especially with open enrollment starting.

As more people opt out of insurance, they may delay preventative care and rely on expensive emergency rooms when issues become critical. This uncompensated care inadvertently increases costs across the system, a problem the Affordable Care Act aimed to solve.

For individuals with a multi-million dollar net worth, forgoing expensive health insurance can be a rational financial choice. The substantial savings on premiums (e.g., $300-400k over a decade) can create a fund large enough to cover most medical costs out-of-pocket, effectively creating a self-insurance pool.

The high cost and employer-tied nature of healthcare in the U.S. is a massive obstacle for entrepreneurs. It makes it harder to quit a day job to go full-time and significantly increases the real cost of hiring, pushing many bootstrappers toward remote international teams.

As pharma companies build direct-to-consumer (DTC) channels for high-demand drugs, large employers see an alternative. This could motivate them to drop insurance coverage, shifting costs to individuals and paradoxically reducing overall access despite the new DTC option.

Small Businesses Are Abandoning Health Insurance Entirely, Not Just Cutting Costs | RiffOn